Milwaukee Bucks One Day Rest Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The Milwaukee Bucks show mixed results as one day rest. Since 2014, they're 22-18-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of +5.0%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2015 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2016 | 2-4-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2017 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2018 | 3-4-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2019 | 4-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2020 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2021 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2022 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2024 | 4-1-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Bucks' modest success against the spread on one day of rest stems from their ability to maintain defensive intensity while managing minutes for their aging core. Milwaukee's system under Mike Budenholzer and now Adrian Griffin relies heavily on Giannis Antetokounmpo's versatility, but the Greek Freak actually thrives with minimal recovery time, using his exceptional conditioning to overwhelm opponents who might be more fatigued. The team's three-point heavy offense also benefits from rhythm shooting, which one day of rest helps preserve better than extended layoffs. Milwaukee's depth has improved significantly in recent seasons, allowing key veterans like Khris Middleton and Brook Lopez to play within themselves on back-to-back situations. The Bucks' transition defense, anchored by Giannis's help-side rim protection, becomes particularly effective when opponents are dealing with tired legs on the second night of games. Bettors should target Milwaukee as road favorites on one day of rest against teams playing their second game in three nights. The Bucks' superior conditioning and defensive switching schemes create the most value when facing opponents dealing with similar rest disadvantages but lacking Milwaukee's depth and athletic advantages.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Milwaukee Bucks's ATS record as one day rest?
The Milwaukee Bucks have a 22-18-0 ATS record when playing on one day of rest from 2014-2024. This translates to a 55% ATS win rate over 40 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Milwaukee Bucks as one day rest profitable?
Yes, betting on the Milwaukee Bucks with one day of rest has been profitable with a 5.0% ROI. Their 55% ATS win rate in this spot has generated positive returns for bettors over the 10-year sample.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Bucks' 55% ATS performance on one day rest is above the typical 50% baseline expected for ATS betting. Their 5.0% ROI indicates they've consistently outperformed oddsmakers' expectations in this scheduling situation.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.