The data suggests caution when backing the Milwaukee Bucks in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as zero days rest, the Milwaukee Bucks are just 28-29-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -6.2% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +6.2%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record28-29-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size57 games
ROI-6.2%
Units Won-3.5u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20143-4-00.0%-18.2%
20153-1-00.0%+43.2%
20162-5-00.0%-45.5%
20172-0-00.0%+90.9%
20182-1-00.0%+27.3%
20190-2-00.0%-100.0%
20202-4-00.0%-36.4%
20215-4-00.0%+6.1%
20222-1-00.0%+27.3%
20233-3-00.0%-4.5%
20244-4-00.0%-4.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Milwaukee Bucks' mediocre performance on zero rest stems from their heavy reliance on Giannis Antetokounmpo's physical dominance and the team's defensive intensity. When playing back-to-back games, the Bucks struggle to maintain their trademark aggressive defensive schemes that require constant energy and effort. Giannis, who typically plays 32-35 minutes per game and shoulders enormous physical burden on both ends, sees his efficiency drop noticeably when fatigued, particularly in his drives to the rim and defensive rotations. Milwaukee's supporting cast has historically lacked the depth to compensate when their stars operate at reduced capacity. The team's three-point shooting becomes more erratic on tired legs, and their defensive rebounding suffers as players fail to box out with their usual vigor. This creates a compounding effect where opponents get extra possessions and cleaner looks against a less energetic Bucks defense. The most actionable insight for bettors is targeting the under on Giannis player props, particularly points and rebounds, when Milwaukee plays on zero rest. His usage rate typically remains high, but his shooting percentage and overall impact metrics decline measurably. This trend carries the most weight when the Bucks face athletic, fast-paced opponents who can exploit their reduced defensive intensity and push the tempo throughout the game.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Milwaukee Bucks's ATS record as zero days rest?

The Milwaukee Bucks have a 28-29-0 ATS record when playing on zero days rest from 2014-2024. This translates to a 49.1% ATS win rate over 57 games.

Is betting on the Milwaukee Bucks as zero days rest profitable?

No, betting on the Milwaukee Bucks with zero days rest has not been profitable, showing a -6.2% ROI from 2014-2024. This negative return indicates consistent underperformance against the spread in back-to-back situations.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Bucks' 49.1% ATS rate on zero days rest is slightly below the typical league average of around 50% for back-to-back games. Their -6.2% ROI suggests they struggle more than most teams in these scheduling spots.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.