Milwaukee Bucks Primetime Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Milwaukee Bucks in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as primetime underdog, the Milwaukee Bucks hold a record of 129-88-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +13.5% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $29 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 10-9-0 | 0.0% | +0.5% |
| 2015 | 14-6-0 | 0.0% | +33.6% |
| 2016 | 14-7-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2017 | 9-9-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2018 | 13-7-1 | 0.0% | +24.1% |
| 2019 | 13-9-0 | 0.0% | +12.8% |
| 2020 | 11-8-0 | 0.0% | +10.5% |
| 2021 | 7-8-0 | 0.0% | -10.9% |
| 2022 | 8-9-0 | 0.0% | -10.2% |
| 2023 | 15-6-0 | 0.0% | +36.4% |
| 2024 | 15-10-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Bucks' success as primetime underdogs stems from their core identity as a championship-caliber team that thrives when doubted. Milwaukee's superstar-driven roster, anchored by Giannis Antetokounmpo's relentless two-way impact, creates a psychological edge when oddsmakers undervalue them on national television. The team's defensive versatility allows them to adjust mid-game against elite competition, while their half-court execution improves significantly when the stakes feel elevated. Milwaukee's coaching staff has historically excelled at game-planning for marquee matchups, particularly when facing teams with superior regular-season records. The Bucks' ability to control pace and dominate the paint becomes magnified in primetime settings, where referees often allow more physical play that favors their style. Their three-point variance also works in their favor as underdogs – when shots fall, they can blow out superior opponents, and when they don't, the spread cushion keeps them competitive. The key betting insight is monitoring Milwaukee's injury report and recent rest patterns, as a healthy Giannis with adequate preparation time has historically been undervalued by the market. This trend matters most during nationally televised games against Western Conference contenders or divisional rivals where motivation peaks and the Bucks can leverage their playoff experience.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Milwaukee Bucks's ATS record as primetime underdog?
The Milwaukee Bucks have an ATS record of 129-88-1 as primetime underdogs from 2014-2024. This translates to a 59.4% ATS win rate over 218 games.
Is betting on the Milwaukee Bucks as primetime underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Milwaukee Bucks as primetime underdogs has been profitable with a 13.5% ROI. Despite the strong ATS performance, bettors would have earned positive returns over this 10-year period.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Bucks' 59.4% ATS win rate as primetime underdogs significantly exceeds the typical 52.4% needed to break even in sports betting. This performance is well above league average for underdog situations.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.