Milwaukee Bucks Away vs Division Rival Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The Milwaukee Bucks show mixed results as away vs division rival. Since 2014, they're 14-14-1 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -4.5%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-5-0 | 0.0% | -68.2% |
| 2015 | 4-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2016 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2017 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2018 | 1-1-1 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2019 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2020 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2021 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2022 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2024 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Bucks' mediocre road performance against division rivals stems from the unique intensity and familiarity that defines Central Division matchups. Teams like Chicago, Cleveland, Detroit, and Indiana know Milwaukee's tendencies intimately through multiple meetings each season, allowing them to exploit the Bucks' road vulnerabilities more effectively than unfamiliar opponents. Milwaukee's reliance on Giannis Antetokounmpo's paint dominance becomes more predictable when facing coaches who've studied his patterns extensively, and division rivals often adjust their defensive schemes specifically for these crucial matchups. The psychological element cannot be understated in these contests. Division games carry playoff implications and rivalry intensity that can disrupt Milwaukee's typical road rhythm. The Bucks have historically struggled with emotional regulation in hostile environments, particularly when facing teams fighting for playoff positioning or bragging rights. Their recent inconsistency suggests this remains an ongoing challenge despite their championship pedigree. Smart bettors should approach Bucks road division games with caution, particularly when they're favored by significant margins. The combination of familiarity breeding defensive adjustments and heightened emotional stakes creates an environment where upsets flourish. This trend matters most during the final two months of the regular season when division standings crystallize and every game carries magnified importance.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Milwaukee Bucks's ATS record as away vs division rival?
The Milwaukee Bucks have a 14-14-1 ATS record when playing as away vs division rivals from 2014-2024. This translates to a 50% ATS win rate over 29 games.
Is betting on the Milwaukee Bucks as away vs division rival profitable?
No, betting on the Milwaukee Bucks as away vs division rivals has not been profitable, showing a -4.5% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite the even ATS record, bettors would have lost money due to juice/vig.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is roughly in line with league expectations, as the 50% ATS rate matches the theoretical break-even point. However, the negative ROI indicates slightly below-average performance when accounting for betting costs.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.