The public often underestimates the Milwaukee Bucks in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away underdog, the Milwaukee Bucks hold a record of 69-44-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +16.6% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $19 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record69-44-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size114 games
ROI+16.6%
Units Won+18.7u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20147-4-00.0%+21.5%
20157-4-00.0%+21.5%
20168-4-00.0%+27.3%
20174-5-00.0%-15.2%
20187-4-10.0%+21.5%
20199-3-00.0%+43.2%
20205-5-00.0%-4.5%
20214-3-00.0%+9.1%
20225-2-00.0%+36.4%
20238-3-00.0%+38.8%
20245-7-00.0%-20.4%

Why This Trend Exists

The Bucks' strong performance as away underdogs stems from their championship-caliber talent being consistently undervalued by oddsmakers in hostile environments. Milwaukee's core built around Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard possesses the elite talent necessary to steal games on the road, yet public perception often focuses on their home-court advantage rather than their ability to execute in pressure situations away from Fiserv Forum. This dynamic creates profitable betting opportunities because the market tends to overreact to Milwaukee's road struggles against weaker opponents while underestimating their capacity to rise to the occasion against quality competition. The Bucks have historically thrived when expectations are lowered, as their veteran leadership and playoff experience allow them to maintain composure in environments where they're not expected to win. The recent decline in this trend reflects the team's ongoing chemistry adjustments and defensive inconsistencies that have plagued them since their championship run. However, the underlying talent differential remains significant enough to exploit market inefficiencies. This trend carries the most weight when Milwaukee faces playoff-caliber teams on the road during the second half of the season, as their championship experience becomes a decisive factor that oddsmakers often undervalue in high-stakes environments.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Milwaukee Bucks's ATS record as away underdog?

The Milwaukee Bucks have a 69-44-1 ATS record as away underdogs from 2014-2024, covering the spread in 60.5% of games. This strong ATS performance demonstrates consistent value when the Bucks are not favored on the road.

Is betting on the Milwaukee Bucks as away underdog profitable?

Yes, betting on the Milwaukee Bucks as away underdogs has been highly profitable with a 16.6% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. This positive return indicates that the betting market has consistently undervalued the Bucks in this situation.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Bucks' 60.5% ATS win rate as away underdogs significantly exceeds the typical league average of around 50% for underdog situations. Their 16.6% ROI is exceptionally strong compared to most teams, which rarely sustain positive ROI over long periods.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.