The Milwaukee Bucks show mixed results as after a win. Since 2014, they're 109-103-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -1.8%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record109-103-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size212 games
ROI-1.8%
Units Won-3.9u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20146-10-00.0%-28.4%
201514-11-00.0%+6.9%
201611-10-00.0%0.0%
20178-6-00.0%+9.1%
201815-7-00.0%+30.2%
201913-12-00.0%-0.7%
20205-9-00.0%-31.8%
20216-9-00.0%-23.6%
20225-10-00.0%-36.4%
202314-9-00.0%+16.2%
202412-10-00.0%+4.1%

Why This Trend Exists

The Bucks' struggles after victories stem from a combination of psychological letdowns and their reliance on superstar talent creating inconsistent effort levels. Milwaukee has historically been built around dominant individual performances from players like Giannis Antetokounmpo, which can lead to complacency when the team feels they've already proven their point with a quality win. This star-dependent structure often results in supporting players taking nights off mentally, assuming their franchise player will carry the load regardless of circumstances. Milwaukee's coaching philosophy under different regimes has emphasized peak performance in marquee matchups while sometimes overlooking the importance of maintaining intensity against perceived lesser opponents. The team's recent form suggests this pattern has intensified, with players potentially viewing wins as license to coast rather than momentum to build upon. Their defensive intensity, which is crucial to their identity, tends to wane when they feel they've already made their statement. Sharp bettors should target Milwaukee as road favorites after home wins, particularly against teams with losing records where the letdown factor is most pronounced. This trend carries the most weight during the regular season when playoff positioning isn't immediately at stake and players are more likely to mentally check out.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Milwaukee Bucks's ATS record as after a win?

The Milwaukee Bucks have gone 109-103-0 against the spread (ATS) in games following a win from 2014-2024. This represents a 51.4% ATS win rate over 212 games in this situation.

Is betting on the Milwaukee Bucks as after a win profitable?

No, betting on the Milwaukee Bucks after a win has not been profitable, showing a -1.8% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite a slightly above .500 ATS record, the negative return indicates losses after accounting for betting juice.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Bucks' 51.4% ATS rate after wins is slightly above the typical 50% baseline but below the ~52.4% needed to overcome standard betting juice. This performance is relatively average compared to league trends in similar situational spots.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.