Memphis Grizzlies Three or More Days Rest Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Memphis Grizzlies in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as three or more days rest, the Memphis Grizzlies are just 130-149-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -11.1% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +11.1%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 9-16-0 | 0.0% | -31.3% |
| 2015 | 12-11-0 | 0.0% | -0.4% |
| 2016 | 15-16-0 | 0.0% | -7.6% |
| 2017 | 17-9-0 | 0.0% | +24.8% |
| 2018 | 12-13-0 | 0.0% | -8.4% |
| 2019 | 10-15-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2020 | 11-11-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2021 | 13-17-0 | 0.0% | -17.3% |
| 2022 | 6-18-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2023 | 14-10-0 | 0.0% | +11.4% |
| 2024 | 11-13-0 | 0.0% | -12.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Grizzlies' struggles with extended rest reflect a team culture built around rhythm and intensity rather than strategic preparation. Memphis has consistently been one of the league's youngest, most athletic squads over this period, relying heavily on pace, transition opportunities, and defensive energy to overwhelm opponents. When given three or more days between games, this youthful core often loses the competitive edge that makes them dangerous, appearing sluggish in first quarters and struggling to match their typical defensive intensity. Extended rest also disrupts Memphis's identity as a scrappy, blue-collar team that thrives on momentum and emotional swings. The Grizzlies have historically performed best when games come in clusters, allowing them to maintain their physical style and feed off crowd energy at FedExForum. Their coaching staff, particularly under Taylor Jenkins, has emphasized staying "game-ready" rather than using practice time for major tactical adjustments, making those extra days less beneficial than for more veteran, system-heavy teams. Sharp bettors should target Memphis as road underdogs coming off extended rest, particularly against well-coached teams that excel at executing game plans. This trend carries the most weight early in seasons when young players haven't yet developed the maturity to handle rhythm disruptions.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Memphis Grizzlies's ATS record as three or more days rest?
The Memphis Grizzlies have an ATS record of 130-149-0 when playing with three or more days of rest from 2014-2024. This represents a 46.6% ATS win rate over 279 games.
Is betting on the Memphis Grizzlies as three or more days rest profitable?
No, betting on the Memphis Grizzlies with three or more days rest has not been profitable. The team has produced a -11.1% ROI over this 10-year period, meaning bettors would have lost money consistently backing them in this situation.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is below the expected 50% ATS win rate that would indicate average performance. The Grizzlies have struggled to cover spreads when well-rested, performing worse than teams typically do with extended rest periods.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.