Memphis Grizzlies Medium Underdog (+3.5 to +7) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Memphis Grizzlies in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7), the Memphis Grizzlies hold a record of 39-28-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +11.1% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $7 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 6-3-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2015 | 5-3-0 | 0.0% | +19.3% |
| 2016 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2017 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2018 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2019 | 5-2-0 | 0.0% | +36.4% |
| 2020 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 5-5-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 1-4-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2023 | 4-3-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2024 | 6-3-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Grizzlies' success as medium underdogs stems from their identity as a gritty, defensive-minded team that thrives when expectations are lowered. Memphis has consistently built rosters around toughness and hustle rather than star power, creating a culture where being overlooked actually fuels performance. When bookmakers set them as moderate underdogs, it typically reflects matchups against more talented teams, but the Grizzlies' defensive intensity and rebounding prowess often neutralize talent disparities. Memphis excels at controlling pace and turning games into grinding affairs, which naturally keeps contests closer than the betting line suggests. Their young core, led by players who embrace the underdog mentality, tends to elevate their play when facing superior competition. The team's depth also becomes a factor in these spots, as they can wear down opponents with fresh legs and relentless energy. For bettors, the key insight is recognizing when Memphis faces teams that rely heavily on offensive firepower but lack defensive discipline. The Grizzlies' ability to force turnovers and create extra possessions through offensive rebounds gives them multiple paths to cover spreads. This trend holds most value when Memphis is catching points at home against offensively-oriented teams or in nationally televised games where their underdog narrative gets amplified.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Memphis Grizzlies's ATS record as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7)?
The Memphis Grizzlies have a 39-28-0 ATS record as medium underdogs (+3.5 to +7) from 2014-2024. This translates to a 58.2% ATS win rate in these situations.
Is betting on the Memphis Grizzlies as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Memphis Grizzlies as medium underdogs has been profitable with an 11.1% ROI. Their 58.2% ATS win rate in this spot significantly exceeds the break-even threshold.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is well above the league average, as teams typically need to cover around 52.4% of spreads to break even on standard -110 odds. The Grizzlies' 58.2% rate represents strong value in this betting situation.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.