Memphis Grizzlies Large Underdog (+7.5+) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Memphis Grizzlies in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as large underdog (+7.5+), the Memphis Grizzlies hold a record of 63-26-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +35.1% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $31 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 6-3-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2015 | 7-1-0 | 0.0% | +67.0% |
| 2016 | 9-3-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2017 | 6-5-0 | 0.0% | +4.1% |
| 2018 | 9-1-0 | 0.0% | +71.8% |
| 2019 | 6-3-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2020 | 5-2-0 | 0.0% | +36.4% |
| 2021 | 7-2-0 | 0.0% | +48.5% |
| 2022 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2023 | 4-1-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
| 2024 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Grizzlies' exceptional performance as large underdogs stems from their organizational culture of embracing adversity and playing with a chip on their shoulder. Memphis has consistently built rosters around gritty, defensive-minded players who thrive when written off by oddsmakers. The franchise's "Grit and Grind" mentality, which persisted even through roster transitions, creates a psychological edge when facing superior opponents with inflated expectations. Memphis benefits from reduced pressure in these spots, allowing their young core to play freely without the weight of expectations. Teams laying large numbers against the Grizzlies often struggle with complacency, particularly when facing a squad known for scrappy play and late-game execution. The Grizzlies' fast-paced offense can catch flat-footed favorites off guard, while their defensive intensity typically keeps games closer than the spread suggests. The key insight for bettors is recognizing when Memphis faces teams on back-to-backs or in potential letdown spots after big wins. The Grizzlies' conditioning and depth often shine in these scenarios, as they can maintain their frenetic pace while opponents fade. This trend carries the most weight when Memphis is catching significant points at home or against Western Conference rivals where familiarity breeds competitive games regardless of talent disparities.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Memphis Grizzlies's ATS record as large underdog (+7.5+)?
The Memphis Grizzlies have a 63-26-0 ATS record as large underdogs (+7.5 or more) from 2014-2024. This translates to a 70.8% ATS win rate over 89 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Memphis Grizzlies as large underdog (+7.5+) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Memphis Grizzlies as large underdogs has been highly profitable with a 35.1% ROI. Despite winning 0% of games straight up in this situation, they consistently cover the spread at an exceptional rate.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Grizzlies' 70.8% ATS win rate as large underdogs significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50% for ATS betting. Their 35.1% ROI indicates exceptional value in this specific betting situation.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.