Memphis Grizzlies Home Favorite on Zero Rest Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Memphis Grizzlies in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home favorite on zero rest, the Memphis Grizzlies are just 5-7-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -20.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +20.4%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2015 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2016 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2017 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2018 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2019 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2020 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2022 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2024 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Grizzlies' struggles as home favorites on zero rest stem from their traditionally physical, grind-it-out style that doesn't translate well to back-to-back situations. Memphis has historically built their identity around defensive intensity and halfcourt execution, both of which require fresh legs and mental sharpness. When playing the second night of a back-to-back at home, the Grizzlies often face an inflated line due to home court advantage, despite their bodies not being fully recovered from the previous game's physical toll. Memphis's defensive schemes rely heavily on switching and help rotations that become sluggish without proper rest. Their offensive execution, particularly in the halfcourt sets that define their tempo, suffers when players are mentally fatigued. The home crowd expectations can actually work against them in these spots, as the pressure to perform at full capacity conflicts with their physical limitations. The key insight for bettors is recognizing when Memphis is laying points as a home favorite on zero rest against teams that can push pace or exploit tired legs. This trend carries the most weight when the Grizzlies are favored by more than five points, as the market often overvalues their home court advantage while underestimating the impact of fatigue on their grinding style of play.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Memphis Grizzlies's ATS record as home favorite on zero rest?
The Memphis Grizzlies have an ATS record of 5-7-0 (41.7%) as home favorites on zero rest from 2014-2024. They have failed to cover the spread in 7 of their 12 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Memphis Grizzlies as home favorite on zero rest profitable?
No, betting on the Memphis Grizzlies as home favorites on zero rest has not been profitable, showing a -20.4% ROI over this period. This represents a significant loss for bettors who consistently wagered on Memphis in this scenario.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Grizzlies' 41.7% ATS rate as home favorites on zero rest is below the typical 50% expectation for spread betting. Their -20.4% ROI indicates they have been a poor bet in this specific situation compared to league norms.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.