Memphis Grizzlies Home Underdog After a Win Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Memphis Grizzlies in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog after a win, the Memphis Grizzlies hold a record of 38-19-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +27.3% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $16 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 5-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2015 | 4-4-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2016 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2017 | 6-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2018 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2019 | 4-3-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2020 | 5-2-0 | 0.0% | +36.4% |
| 2021 | 4-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2022 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2023 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2024 | 1-4-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Memphis Grizzlies' success as home underdogs following victories stems from their historically gritty, defensive identity that thrives when disrespected by oddsmakers. This franchise has built its culture around proving doubters wrong, and being installed as home underdogs after a win creates the perfect psychological storm. The team feeds off the perceived slight of being favored against at home despite coming off a victory, channeling that energy into elevated defensive intensity. Memphis has traditionally been a team that maximizes home court advantage through physicality and crowd energy, particularly when they feel overlooked. The post-win confidence combined with underdog motivation creates a dangerous combination where role players step up and the team plays with extra urgency. Their defensive schemes become more disruptive, and they typically control pace to neutralize more talented opponents. The recent decline in this trend suggests the dynamic may be shifting as the Grizzlies have evolved into a more respected, higher-profile franchise. However, when this team returns to being undervalued by the market, especially at home after showing they can win, the old identity resurfaces. This trend matters most when Memphis faces teams with superior records but questionable road form, particularly in nationally televised games where the underdog narrative amplifies their motivation.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Memphis Grizzlies's ATS record as home underdog after a win?
The Memphis Grizzlies have a 38-19-0 ATS record when playing as home underdogs after a win from 2014-2024. This translates to a 66.7% ATS win rate over 57 games.
Is betting on the Memphis Grizzlies as home underdog after a win profitable?
Yes, betting on the Memphis Grizzlies as home underdogs after a win has been highly profitable with a 27.3% ROI. Their 66.7% ATS success rate in this situation significantly exceeds the break-even point needed for profitability.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 66.7% ATS win rate substantially outperforms the typical 50% league average for ATS betting. The Grizzlies have been exceptionally strong in this specific situation, making it a historically profitable betting angle.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.