Memphis Grizzlies Away Favorite Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Memphis Grizzlies in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite, the Memphis Grizzlies are just 49-75-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -24.6% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +24.6%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 6-8-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2015 | 6-5-0 | 0.0% | +4.1% |
| 2016 | 7-7-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2017 | 6-3-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2018 | 3-6-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2019 | 1-8-0 | 0.0% | -78.8% |
| 2020 | 3-6-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2021 | 3-8-0 | 0.0% | -47.9% |
| 2022 | 2-9-0 | 0.0% | -65.3% |
| 2023 | 6-7-0 | 0.0% | -11.9% |
| 2024 | 6-8-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Grizzlies' struggles as road favorites stem from their identity as a gritty, defensive-minded team that historically relied on home-court advantage more than most franchises. Memphis built their reputation on "Grit and Grind" basketball, a style that translates better when feeding off hostile home crowds and familiar surroundings. When favored on the road, they've often faced motivated underdogs who match their physical intensity while the Grizzlies lose their atmospheric edge. The franchise's inconsistent offensive execution compounds this issue. Teams that struggle to score consistently often find road favorite spots particularly challenging because they can't simply out-talent opponents when shots aren't falling. The Grizzlies have frequently been caught between their defensive identity and the need to perform as expected favorites, creating uncomfortable middle ground that neither intimidates opponents nor maximizes their strengths. Memphis also tends to get inflated lines when traveling, as oddsmakers sometimes overvalue their defensive reputation without accounting for how that style translates in hostile environments. Their physical approach often draws more fouls on the road, disrupting their rhythm and putting them in disadvantageous situations. This trend matters most when Memphis travels to face teams with strong home records or those playing with desperation, particularly in divisional matchups where familiarity breeds competitive balance.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Memphis Grizzlies's ATS record as away favorite?
The Memphis Grizzlies have a 49-75-0 ATS record as away favorites from 2014-2024, covering the spread in only 39.5% of games. This represents 124 total games where Memphis was favored on the road.
Is betting on the Memphis Grizzlies as away favorite profitable?
No, betting on the Memphis Grizzlies as away favorites is not profitable, with a -24.6% ROI over the 10-year period. This means bettors would have lost approximately 25 cents for every dollar wagered on Memphis in this situation.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly worse than the typical league average for away favorites, which generally covers around 48-50% of games. Memphis's 39.5% cover rate as road favorites ranks among the worst in the NBA during this timeframe.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.