The data suggests caution when backing the Memphis Grizzlies in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away after 2+ wins, the Memphis Grizzlies are just 112-123-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -9.0% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +9.0%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record112-123-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size235 games
ROI-9.0%
Units Won-21.2u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201415-15-00.0%-4.5%
201514-7-00.0%+27.3%
201614-11-00.0%+6.9%
20178-11-00.0%-19.6%
201811-7-00.0%+16.7%
20196-14-00.0%-42.7%
20207-9-00.0%-16.5%
202111-13-00.0%-12.5%
20223-13-00.0%-64.2%
202312-11-00.0%-0.4%
202411-12-00.0%-8.7%

Why This Trend Exists

The Grizzlies' struggles as road favorites after multiple wins stem from their historically young roster's tendency to experience emotional letdowns following success. Memphis has built its identity around grit-and-grind basketball that thrives on adversity and underdog mentality. When riding high after consecutive victories, particularly on the road where crowd energy typically fuels their defensive intensity, the team often loses that edge that makes them effective. Memphis's youth-heavy lineups have consistently shown vulnerability to overconfidence, especially when oddsmakers inflate their lines following hot streaks. The franchise's culture emphasizes physicality and defensive pressure, but these elements become less pronounced when players mentally coast after proving themselves. Road environments that should challenge them instead become stages where they expect easier victories. The coaching staff's emphasis on "next play" mentality works better when facing adversity than managing success. Players like Ja Morant and the supporting cast have repeatedly shown they perform better with chips on their shoulders rather than as expected winners. Bettors should target Memphis as road underdogs rather than favorites, particularly when they're coming off impressive home victories. This trend becomes most critical during mid-season stretches when line movements heavily favor the Grizzlies following nationally televised wins.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Memphis Grizzlies's ATS record as away after 2+ wins?

The Memphis Grizzlies have gone 112-123-0 against the spread when playing away after 2+ consecutive wins from 2014-2024. This represents a 47.7% ATS win rate over 235 games.

Is betting on the Memphis Grizzlies as away after 2+ wins profitable?

No, betting on the Memphis Grizzlies as away after 2+ wins is not profitable. The trend shows a -9.0% ROI, meaning bettors would lose approximately 9 cents for every dollar wagered.

How does this compare to the league average?

This 47.7% ATS win rate is below the expected 50% break-even point for spread betting. The negative ROI indicates this trend performs worse than random chance and significantly below profitable betting standards.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.