The data suggests caution when backing the Los Angeles Lakers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as on a 3+ game win streak, the Los Angeles Lakers are just 212-242-2 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -10.8% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +10.8%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record212-242-2
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size456 games
ROI-10.8%
Units Won-49.3u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201422-28-00.0%-16.0%
201512-19-00.0%-26.1%
201615-16-00.0%-7.6%
201721-20-00.0%-2.2%
201817-26-00.0%-24.5%
201919-20-00.0%-7.0%
202019-27-00.0%-21.1%
202118-22-00.0%-14.1%
202226-24-20.0%-0.7%
202322-19-00.0%+2.4%
202421-21-00.0%-4.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Lakers' struggles against the spread during winning streaks reflect a fundamental market inefficiency driven by public perception and organizational culture. When Los Angeles gets hot, casual bettors flood the market with Lakers money, inflating lines beyond their true value. The franchise's Hollywood mystique and star power amplify this effect, creating situations where oddsmakers must shade numbers to balance action rather than reflect actual game probabilities. Historically, the Lakers have shown a tendency toward complacency during extended success runs. The organization's championship pedigree can work against them in regular season stretches, as players and coaching staff sometimes ease off the accelerator when momentum builds. This psychological letdown becomes particularly pronounced in games where they're heavily favored, leading to underwhelming performances that fail to cover inflated spreads. The team's reliance on superstar talent also creates vulnerability during win streaks. When LeBron James or Anthony Davis face minor injuries or rest games, the supporting cast often struggles to maintain the same level of dominance that built the streak, yet the betting market remains slow to adjust. This trend carries the most weight during nationally televised games in the second half of the season, when public attention peaks and line inflation reaches its most extreme levels.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Los Angeles Lakers's ATS record as on a 3+ game win streak?

The Los Angeles Lakers have an ATS record of 212-242-2 when on a 3+ game win streak from 2014-2024. This translates to a 46.7% ATS win rate over 456 total games in this situation.

Is betting on the Los Angeles Lakers as on a 3+ game win streak profitable?

No, betting on the Lakers when on a 3+ game win streak has not been profitable, showing a -10.8% ROI from 2014-2024. Bettors would have lost money consistently backing the Lakers ATS in this situation.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is below the expected 50% break-even rate for ATS betting. The Lakers' 46.7% ATS win rate when on win streaks suggests the betting market may overvalue their momentum, making them a poor ATS bet in this situation.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.