The data suggests caution when backing the Los Angeles Lakers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as vs division opponent, the Los Angeles Lakers are just 23-29-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -15.6% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +15.6%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record23-29-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size52 games
ROI-15.6%
Units Won-8.1u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20143-3-00.0%-4.5%
20152-5-00.0%-45.5%
20163-2-00.0%+14.6%
20172-0-00.0%+90.9%
20181-5-00.0%-68.2%
20191-3-00.0%-52.3%
20202-0-00.0%+90.9%
20212-5-00.0%-45.5%
20222-1-00.0%+27.3%
20234-3-00.0%+9.1%
20241-2-00.0%-36.4%

Why This Trend Exists

The Lakers' struggles against divisional opponents stem from a combination of familiarity breeding defensive adjustments and the psychological weight of high-stakes matchups within the Pacific Division. When facing teams like the Warriors, Clippers, Kings, and Suns multiple times per season, opposing coaches have extensive film study opportunities to exploit LA's defensive weaknesses and neutralize their offensive schemes. The Lakers have historically relied on star power and athleticism, but divisional foes understand how to disrupt their rhythm through targeted game planning. The franchise's inconsistent roster construction over the past decade has amplified these issues. During rebuilding years, the Lakers lacked the depth to match the intensity that divisional rivals bring to these crucial games. Even in competitive seasons, the pressure to perform against local rivals and teams fighting for similar playoff positioning has led to overthinking and departure from their natural offensive flow. The psychological factor cannot be understated - divisional games carry playoff implications and local bragging rights, creating an environment where the Lakers often press rather than execute. Teams like the Clippers and Warriors have used their defensive identity to frustrate LA's star-heavy lineups. This trend matters most during the final month of the regular season when playoff seeding is determined and every divisional game carries maximum weight.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Los Angeles Lakers's ATS record as vs division opponent?

The Los Angeles Lakers have a 23-29-0 ATS record when playing against division opponents from 2014-2024. This translates to a 44.2% ATS win rate over this 10-year period.

Is betting on the Los Angeles Lakers as vs division opponent profitable?

No, betting on the Lakers against division opponents has not been profitable, showing a -15.6% ROI from 2014-2024. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing the Lakers in divisional matchups.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Lakers' 44.2% ATS win rate against division opponents is below the typical 50% league average expected in spread betting. Their performance in divisional games has been particularly poor compared to standard expectations.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.