The data suggests caution when backing the Los Angeles Lakers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as three or more days rest, the Los Angeles Lakers are just 118-137-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -11.7% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +11.7%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record118-137-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size256 games
ROI-11.7%
Units Won-29.7u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20149-12-00.0%-18.2%
20157-15-00.0%-39.3%
20167-11-00.0%-25.8%
201711-14-00.0%-16.0%
201810-13-00.0%-17.0%
201914-12-00.0%+2.8%
202010-15-00.0%-23.6%
202113-13-00.0%-4.5%
202215-8-10.0%+24.5%
202310-13-00.0%-17.0%
202412-11-00.0%-0.4%

Why This Trend Exists

The Lakers' struggles with extended rest stem from their historically star-driven culture that thrives on rhythm and momentum rather than preparation time. When given three or more days off, this franchise has consistently shown a tendency to come out flat, particularly during periods when veteran superstars dominated the roster. The extra time often disrupts the natural flow that elite players rely on, especially aging stars who benefit more from staying in game rhythm than from additional recovery. Los Angeles has also faced unique scheduling disadvantages during extended breaks, often returning against well-rested opponents or in challenging road situations where the betting market overvalues their talent level. The franchise's frequent roster turnover and coaching changes have compounded this issue, as new systems require constant reinforcement that gets interrupted by lengthy breaks. The psychological factor cannot be ignored either - Lakers players and coaches often face intense media scrutiny during extended breaks, creating distractions that manifest as sluggish starts and poor execution against the spread. This trend carries the most weight early in seasons when new rotations are still gelling, and during playoff pushes when every game carries heightened pressure and public betting attention.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Los Angeles Lakers's ATS record as three or more days rest?

The Los Angeles Lakers have an ATS record of 118-137-1 when playing with three or more days rest from 2014-2024. This represents a 46.1% ATS win rate over 256 games.

Is betting on the Los Angeles Lakers as three or more days rest profitable?

No, betting on the Lakers with three or more days rest has not been profitable, showing a -11.7% ROI from 2014-2024. Bettors would have lost money consistently backing the Lakers in this situation.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly below the expected 50% break-even point for ATS betting. The Lakers' 46.1% ATS win rate with extended rest indicates they consistently fail to cover spreads in this situation.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.