Los Angeles Lakers One Day Rest Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Los Angeles Lakers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as one day rest, the Los Angeles Lakers are just 24-33-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -19.6% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +19.6%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 6-8-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2015 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2016 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2017 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2018 | 3-5-0 | 0.0% | -28.4% |
| 2019 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2020 | 1-6-0 | 0.0% | -72.7% |
| 2021 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2022 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2023 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2024 | 4-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Lakers' poor performance on one day of rest reflects the franchise's long-standing reliance on veteran-heavy rosters and star players who require more recovery time between games. This organizational philosophy, particularly evident during the LeBron James era, creates a roster construction that struggles with the compressed recovery window that one day of rest provides. Unlike younger, more athletic teams that can maintain intensity on back-to-back scenarios, the Lakers' aging core experiences a notable drop-off in both defensive rotations and offensive execution when not fully rested. The team's coaching staff has historically prioritized load management and strategic rest for their marquee players, which often means key contributors are either playing through fatigue or sitting out entirely on one day of rest. This creates lineup instability and forces role players into expanded minutes they're not equipped to handle against the spread. The psychological factor also plays a role - the Lakers often approach these games with a "get through it" mentality rather than the championship-level focus they bring to nationally televised games with extended rest. Bettors should target fading the Lakers when they're road favorites on one day of rest, particularly against teams with younger, more energetic rosters. This trend carries the most weight during the middle portion of the season when fatigue accumulates and before playoff positioning becomes critical.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Los Angeles Lakers's ATS record as one day rest?
The Los Angeles Lakers have an ATS record of 24-33-0 when playing on one day of rest from 2014-2024. This translates to a 42.1% ATS win rate over 57 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Los Angeles Lakers as one day rest profitable?
No, betting on the Lakers with one day rest has not been profitable, showing a -19.6% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. This represents significant losses for bettors who consistently wagered on LA in this spot.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Lakers' 42.1% ATS win rate with one day rest is below the expected 50% break-even point and likely underperforms the league average. The -19.6% ROI indicates this has been a particularly poor betting situation for the franchise.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.