Los Angeles Lakers Home vs Division Rival Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Los Angeles Lakers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home vs division rival, the Los Angeles Lakers are just 15-20-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -18.2% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +18.2%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2015 | 1-4-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2016 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2017 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2018 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2019 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2020 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 2-4-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2022 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2023 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2024 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Lakers' struggles against division rivals at home stem from a perfect storm of psychological and strategic factors that consistently work against them in the betting market. Division games carry heightened intensity and familiarity that neutralizes many of the traditional home-court advantages the Lakers typically enjoy at Crypto.com Arena. Pacific Division opponents like the Warriors, Clippers, Kings, and Suns know the Lakers' tendencies intimately, having faced them multiple times each season, which allows them to game-plan more effectively against Los Angeles' star-driven offensive schemes. The Lakers' reliance on individual talent over systematic basketball becomes more exploitable when facing teams that have studied their patterns extensively. Division rivals also tend to bring their best effort against a marquee franchise like the Lakers, treating these matchups as measuring-stick games regardless of standings. The emotional weight of these contests often leads to tighter, grittier affairs that favor the underdog and work against inflated spreads that the Lakers frequently carry as betting favorites. Smart bettors should target division opponents getting points at Staples Center, particularly when the Lakers are laying significant chalk. This trend carries the most weight during the middle portion of the season when division standings become crucial and familiarity breeds the kind of competitive balance that creates betting value.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Los Angeles Lakers's ATS record as home vs division rival?
The Los Angeles Lakers have a 15-20-0 ATS record when playing at home against division rivals from 2014-2024. This represents a 42.9% ATS win rate over 35 games.
Is betting on the Los Angeles Lakers as home vs division rival profitable?
No, betting on the Lakers as home favorites against division rivals has not been profitable, with a -18.2% ROI from 2014-2024. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing LA in these situations.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Lakers' 42.9% ATS win rate in this situation is significantly below the expected 50% league average. Their performance against division rivals at home has been particularly poor compared to typical home team expectations.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.