Los Angeles Lakers Home Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Los Angeles Lakers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog, the Los Angeles Lakers hold a record of 66-50-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +8.6% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $10 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 4-2-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2015 | 3-4-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2016 | 7-3-0 | 0.0% | +33.6% |
| 2017 | 7-4-0 | 0.0% | +21.5% |
| 2018 | 7-4-0 | 0.0% | +21.5% |
| 2019 | 7-4-0 | 0.0% | +21.5% |
| 2020 | 8-7-0 | 0.0% | +1.8% |
| 2021 | 9-4-0 | 0.0% | +32.2% |
| 2022 | 3-9-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2023 | 5-4-0 | 0.0% | +6.1% |
| 2024 | 6-5-0 | 0.0% | +4.1% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Lakers' strong performance as home underdogs stems from their unique organizational psychology and the expectations that come with playing at Crypto.com Arena. When oddsmakers make the Lakers underdogs at home, it typically signals legitimate concerns about roster health, chemistry issues, or facing elite competition. However, this creates a perfect storm where the Lakers' veteran-heavy roster responds with heightened focus and urgency. Los Angeles possesses one of the NBA's most experienced cores, with players who understand the narrative implications of being disrespected on their home court. The franchise's championship pedigree means role players often elevate their games in these spots, knowing they're playing alongside superstars who demand excellence. Additionally, home underdogs scenarios frequently occur when the Lakers are dealing with adversity, which historically brings out their best collective effort. The betting market also tends to overreact to recent Lakers struggles, creating inflated lines when they face quality opponents at home. Sharp bettors should particularly target Lakers home underdog spots when they're coming off poor road performances or when facing teams on winning streaks. This trend matters most during the regular season when motivation can fluctuate, especially in nationally televised games where pride becomes a significant factor.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Los Angeles Lakers's ATS record as home underdog?
The Los Angeles Lakers have an ATS record of 66-50-0 as home underdogs from 2014-2024. This translates to a 56.9% ATS win rate over 116 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Los Angeles Lakers as home underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Lakers as home underdogs has been profitable with an 8.6% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite covering the spread at a strong 56.9% rate, their actual win rate in these games was 0.0%.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Lakers' 56.9% ATS rate as home underdogs significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50%. Their 8.6% ROI indicates consistent value in this betting situation over the past decade.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.