The data suggests caution when backing the Los Angeles Lakers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after a win, the Los Angeles Lakers are just 106-113-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -7.6% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +7.6%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record106-113-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size220 games
ROI-7.6%
Units Won-16.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201411-16-00.0%-22.2%
20154-11-00.0%-49.1%
20167-9-00.0%-16.5%
20179-10-00.0%-9.6%
20185-7-00.0%-20.4%
201910-11-00.0%-9.1%
202011-12-00.0%-8.7%
202111-8-00.0%+10.5%
202212-12-10.0%-4.5%
202314-8-00.0%+21.5%
202412-9-00.0%+9.1%

Why This Trend Exists

The Lakers' struggles after victories stem from a combination of psychological letdowns and roster inconsistencies that have plagued the franchise through multiple rebuilding phases. Championship-caliber teams typically maintain focus regardless of recent results, but the Lakers have cycled through various iterations of role players and aging superstars who lack the mental fortitude to sustain momentum. This pattern reflects poorly on organizational culture and coaching adjustments, as successful teams use wins as building blocks rather than reasons to coast. LeBron James-era Lakers have shown improvement in this area, suggesting veteran leadership matters significantly in maintaining post-win focus. However, the franchise's tendency to rely on star power over systematic basketball creates natural letdown spots when role players fail to maintain their complementary intensity. The team's offensive system often becomes predictable after showcasing their best effort, making them vulnerable to motivated opponents who can study film and adjust accordingly. Bettors should target fading the Lakers as favorites following impressive victories, particularly against teams with strong coaching staffs who excel at making adjustments. This trend becomes most critical when the Lakers are coming off statement wins against quality opponents, as the psychological letdown effect amplifies significantly in those scenarios.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Los Angeles Lakers's ATS record as after a win?

The Los Angeles Lakers have an ATS record of 106-113-1 (48.4%) in games following a win from 2014-2024. This means they have failed to cover the spread in 113 of their 220 games after victories during this period.

Is betting on the Los Angeles Lakers as after a win profitable?

No, betting on the Lakers after a win has not been profitable, showing a -7.6% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. This negative return indicates bettors would have lost money consistently backing the Lakers ATS following their victories.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Lakers' 48.4% ATS win rate after victories is slightly below the expected 50% break-even point for spread betting. This below-average performance suggests the betting market may overvalue the Lakers following wins, making them a poor ATS bet in this situation.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.