The data suggests caution when backing the Los Angeles Clippers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as three or more days rest, the Los Angeles Clippers are just 128-134-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -6.7% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +6.7%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record128-134-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size262 games
ROI-6.7%
Units Won-17.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201410-11-00.0%-9.1%
20158-14-00.0%-30.6%
20169-18-00.0%-36.4%
201717-10-00.0%+20.2%
20189-10-00.0%-9.6%
201918-5-00.0%+49.4%
202012-13-00.0%-8.4%
202112-16-00.0%-18.2%
20229-15-00.0%-28.4%
202315-9-00.0%+19.3%
20249-13-00.0%-21.9%

Why This Trend Exists

The Clippers' struggles with extended rest stem from their historically volatile roster construction and organizational instability. Unlike teams with established systems and veteran leadership, Los Angeles has frequently undergone dramatic personnel changes that disrupt rhythm and chemistry. When players have three or more days between games, the lack of consistent practice habits and defensive rotations becomes magnified, particularly during periods of franchise upheaval. The team's reliance on star players who often manage injury concerns creates another layer of complexity. Extended rest periods can actually work against the Clippers when key players return from load management or minor injuries, as the supporting cast struggles to readjust to altered roles and responsibilities. The coaching carousel that plagued the franchise for years also meant inconsistent preparation methods during these longer breaks. Doc Rivers' tenure showed improvement in managing these situations, but the underlying issue remains: the Clippers perform better when maintaining game rhythm rather than having time to overthink adjustments. Their athletic, transition-based style benefits from momentum and flow that extended rest can interrupt. Bettors should be particularly wary of backing the Clippers after long breaks when they're favored by significant margins, as the combination of rust and inflated expectations creates optimal fade opportunities.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Los Angeles Clippers's ATS record as three or more days rest?

The Los Angeles Clippers have an ATS record of 128-134-0 when playing with three or more days rest from 2014-2024. This translates to a 48.9% ATS win rate over 262 games.

Is betting on the Los Angeles Clippers as three or more days rest profitable?

No, betting on the Los Angeles Clippers with three or more days rest is not profitable, showing a -6.7% ROI. Bettors would have lost money consistently backing the Clippers in this situation over the past decade.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Clippers' 48.9% ATS win rate with extended rest is below the expected 50% break-even point and likely underperforms the league average. Most teams perform better ATS with extra rest, making the Clippers an anomaly in this situation.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.