The data suggests caution when backing the Los Angeles Clippers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as medium favorite (-3.5 to -7), the Los Angeles Clippers are just 31-48-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -25.1% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +25.1%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record31-48-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size79 games
ROI-25.1%
Units Won-19.8u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20140-3-00.0%-100.0%
20150-7-00.0%-100.0%
20162-6-00.0%-52.3%
20173-6-00.0%-36.4%
20184-7-00.0%-30.6%
20193-0-00.0%+90.9%
20204-3-00.0%+9.1%
20214-4-00.0%-4.5%
20226-4-00.0%+14.6%
20235-5-00.0%-4.5%
20240-3-00.0%-100.0%

Why This Trend Exists

The Clippers' struggles as medium favorites stem from a franchise-long identity crisis that manifests most clearly in these spot situations. When laying 3.5 to 7 points, LA faces the psychological burden of being expected to dominate while lacking the championship pedigree to back up that confidence. This creates a dangerous mindset where the team plays not to lose rather than playing to win by double digits. The Clippers' roster construction has historically favored star power over depth, making them vulnerable when opponents can keep games competitive through the third quarter. Their defensive intensity often wanes when they assume victory is inevitable, allowing underdogs to hang around and cover spreads even in losses. The team's tendency to rely heavily on isolation plays from their stars becomes predictable against motivated underdogs who can afford to take risks defensively. The franchise's playoff disappointments have created a pattern where pressure situations expose their mental fragility. When the betting market expects them to handle business convincingly, the Clippers frequently deliver uninspiring performances that satisfy neither bettors nor fans. This trend matters most during regular season games against sub-.500 opponents when the Clippers are coming off impressive victories, as overconfidence typically peaks in these scenarios.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Los Angeles Clippers's ATS record as medium favorite (-3.5 to -7)?

The Los Angeles Clippers have a 31-48-0 ATS record as medium favorites (-3.5 to -7 point spreads) from 2014-2024. This translates to a 39.2% ATS win rate over 79 games in this betting situation.

Is betting on the Los Angeles Clippers as medium favorite (-3.5 to -7) profitable?

No, betting on the Clippers as medium favorites has been unprofitable with a -25.1% ROI. This poor return reflects their tendency to underperform expectations when favored by 3.5 to 7 points.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly below the league average, as teams typically cover around 50% of spreads. The Clippers' 39.2% ATS rate as medium favorites represents a notable negative trend for bettors.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.