Los Angeles Clippers Home Favorite on Zero Rest Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Los Angeles Clippers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home favorite on zero rest, the Los Angeles Clippers are just 7-10-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -21.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +21.4%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2015 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2016 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2018 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2019 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2020 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2021 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2022 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2023 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2024 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Clippers' struggles as home favorites on zero rest stem from their historically volatile roster construction and organizational instability during much of this sample period. Unlike teams built around consistent systems, the Clippers have frequently relied on star power and athletic ability rather than deep bench depth or structured rotations. When fatigue sets in from back-to-back games, this approach becomes problematic as role players who might typically benefit from home court advantage lack the conditioning or defined responsibilities to step up effectively. The psychological element cannot be overlooked either. As a franchise that has battled expectations and "Clipper Way" narratives for decades, there's often additional pressure when laying points at home after a grueling road game. The combination of physical fatigue and mental pressure to perform as favorites creates a perfect storm for underperformance against the spread, particularly when facing motivated underdogs who view these spots as opportunities. The key insight for bettors is recognizing that this trend intensifies when the Clippers are laying more than six points, as the market often overvalues their talent advantage while underweighting fatigue factors. This pattern matters most during compressed playoff pushes in March and April when every game carries heightened importance.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Los Angeles Clippers's ATS record as home favorite on zero rest?
The Los Angeles Clippers have a 7-10-0 ATS record as home favorites on zero rest from 2014-2024. This translates to a 41.2% ATS win rate over 17 games.
Is betting on the Los Angeles Clippers as home favorite on zero rest profitable?
No, betting on the Clippers as home favorites on zero rest is not profitable, showing a -21.4% ROI. This represents significant losses for bettors over the 10-year period.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is well below the expected 50% ATS baseline, indicating the Clippers consistently struggle to cover spreads in this specific situation. The negative ROI suggests this is a fade-worthy trend for bettors.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.