The data suggests caution when backing the Los Angeles Clippers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home favorite after a loss, the Los Angeles Clippers are just 25-37-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -23.0% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +23.0%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record25-37-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size62 games
ROI-23.0%
Units Won-14.3u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-2-00.0%-36.4%
20150-4-00.0%-100.0%
20162-6-00.0%-52.3%
20174-3-00.0%+9.1%
20184-3-00.0%+9.1%
20190-3-00.0%-100.0%
20201-4-00.0%-61.8%
20212-3-00.0%-23.6%
20221-3-00.0%-52.3%
20238-3-00.0%+38.8%
20242-3-00.0%-23.6%

Why This Trend Exists

The Clippers' struggles as home favorites after losses stem from a franchise-long pattern of inconsistent emotional responses and leadership volatility. This organization has historically lacked the veteran presence and championship mentality needed to bounce back with authority following setbacks. When favored at home after a loss, the Clippers often face inflated expectations from both oddsmakers and their fanbase, creating additional pressure that this franchise has consistently failed to handle effectively. The team's roster construction over the years has featured talented but mentally fragile players who tend to compound problems rather than solve them. Stars like Blake Griffin, Chris Paul during his tenure, and even the current Kawhi Leonard-Paul George era have shown a tendency to overthink situations when the spotlight intensifies. The Clippers' coaching carousel hasn't helped either, as frequent system changes have prevented the development of consistent bounce-back protocols that championship organizations rely upon. Smart bettors should target the Clippers' opponents in these spots, particularly when the visiting team has strong veteran leadership or recent momentum. This trend carries the most weight when the Clippers are coming off divisional losses or nationally televised defeats, as the organizational pressure reaches its peak in these scenarios.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Los Angeles Clippers's ATS record as home favorite after a loss?

The Los Angeles Clippers have gone 25-37-0 against the spread as home favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This represents a 40.3% ATS win rate over 62 games.

Is betting on the Los Angeles Clippers as home favorite after a loss profitable?

No, betting on the Clippers as home favorites after a loss has not been profitable, showing a -23.0% ROI. This trend has consistently underperformed expectations over the past decade.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly below the typical 50% ATS expectation for any betting scenario. The Clippers' 40.3% ATS rate in this situation suggests they struggle to cover spreads when favored at home following losses.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.