The data suggests caution when backing the Los Angeles Clippers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as as favorite, the Los Angeles Clippers are just 93-153-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -27.8% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +27.8%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record93-153-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size246 games
ROI-27.8%
Units Won-68.5u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20144-8-00.0%-36.4%
20154-14-00.0%-57.6%
20168-19-00.0%-43.4%
201711-14-00.0%-16.0%
201812-14-00.0%-11.9%
201910-7-00.0%+12.3%
20209-16-00.0%-31.3%
202112-19-00.0%-26.1%
20228-13-00.0%-27.3%
202311-20-00.0%-32.3%
20244-9-00.0%-41.3%

Why This Trend Exists

The Clippers' struggles as favorites stem from a fundamental identity crisis that has plagued the franchise for decades. This organization has historically been built around overachieving and playing with a chip on their shoulder, making them naturally suited for underdog roles where they can rely on grit and determination. When installed as favorites, particularly in the Paul-Griffin era and beyond, the team often plays down to competition and lacks the killer instinct needed to cover spreads against inferior opponents. The franchise's psychological makeup compounds this issue. Years of being overshadowed by the Lakers created a mentality where the Clippers thrive when expectations are low but crumble under the weight of being expected to dominate. Their coaching staffs have frequently emphasized defensive intensity and hustle as equalizers, strategies that work better when hunting than when being hunted. The team's roster construction often features players who excel in complementary roles rather than alpha personalities who can impose their will consistently. This creates a ceiling effect where they struggle to separate from weaker opponents, leading to narrow wins that fail to cover inflated spreads. This trend becomes most critical when the Clippers are favored by significant margins at home against rebuilding teams, where complacency historically strikes hardest.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Los Angeles Clippers's ATS record as as favorite?

The Los Angeles Clippers have an ATS record of 93-153-0 as favorites from 2014-2024, covering the spread in only 37.8% of games. This represents a significantly poor performance against the betting line when favored.

Is betting on the Los Angeles Clippers as as favorite profitable?

No, betting on the Los Angeles Clippers as favorites has been highly unprofitable with a -27.8% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. This means bettors would have lost approximately 28 cents for every dollar wagered on the Clippers when they were favored.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is well below the league average, as favorites typically cover around 48-52% of the time. The Clippers' 37.8% ATS rate as favorites represents one of the worst performances in the NBA over this timeframe.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.