The data suggests caution when backing the Indiana Pacers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as vs non-conference opponent, the Indiana Pacers are just 114-118-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -6.2% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +6.2%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record114-118-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size232 games
ROI-6.2%
Units Won-14.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201414-14-00.0%-4.5%
20156-11-00.0%-32.6%
20166-9-00.0%-23.6%
201712-11-00.0%-0.4%
201813-11-00.0%+3.4%
201912-5-00.0%+34.8%
20207-10-00.0%-21.4%
202113-13-00.0%-4.5%
20226-11-00.0%-32.6%
20238-12-00.0%-23.6%
202417-11-00.0%+15.9%

Why This Trend Exists

The Pacers' middling performance against non-conference opponents reflects their organizational identity as a fundamentally sound but rarely spectacular franchise. Indiana typically approaches these matchups with less familiarity about opponent tendencies, forcing them to rely more heavily on their base defensive schemes rather than the detailed game-planning that serves them well within their division. This creates a leveling effect where their disciplined approach keeps them competitive but rarely provides the strategic edge needed to consistently cover spreads. Indiana's coaching philosophy under various regimes has emphasized preparation and execution, which works exceptionally well against familiar Eastern Conference foes but becomes less decisive when facing Western Conference teams with different styles and personnel. The Pacers often struggle to adjust their pace and defensive rotations quickly enough against teams they see only once or twice per season, leading to games that fall closer to market expectations rather than providing betting value. The key insight for bettors is recognizing when Indiana faces Western Conference teams with contrasting playing styles – particularly up-tempo offensive squads that can exploit their adjustment period. This trend carries the most weight during the regular season's first half when unfamiliarity is highest and coaching adjustments haven't yet been refined through multiple exposures.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Indiana Pacers's ATS record as vs non-conference opponent?

The Indiana Pacers have a 114-118-0 ATS record when playing against non-conference opponents from 2014-2024. This represents a 49.1% ATS win rate over 232 games.

Is betting on the Indiana Pacers as vs non-conference opponent profitable?

No, betting on the Indiana Pacers against non-conference opponents has not been profitable, showing a -6.2% ROI from 2014-2024. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing the Pacers in these matchups.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Pacers' 49.1% ATS win rate against non-conference opponents falls slightly below the typical 50% break-even point expected in sports betting. Their -6.2% ROI also underperforms compared to league averages, making them a less favorable betting option in these situations.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.