Indiana Pacers vs Conference Opponent Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Indiana Pacers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as vs conference opponent, the Indiana Pacers are just 67-75-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -9.9% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +9.9%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 6-2-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2015 | 3-8-0 | 0.0% | -47.9% |
| 2016 | 3-8-0 | 0.0% | -47.9% |
| 2017 | 5-10-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2018 | 7-5-0 | 0.0% | +11.4% |
| 2019 | 2-8-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2020 | 8-6-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2021 | 11-5-0 | 0.0% | +31.2% |
| 2022 | 7-5-0 | 0.0% | +11.4% |
| 2023 | 7-8-0 | 0.0% | -10.9% |
| 2024 | 8-10-0 | 0.0% | -15.2% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Pacers' struggles against conference opponents stem from their historical identity as a fundamentally sound but talent-deficient franchise that gets exposed when facing familiar foes. Eastern Conference teams have extensive scouting reports on Indiana's tendencies, particularly their reliance on half-court execution and limited offensive creativity. When opponents know exactly what's coming, the Pacers' methodical approach becomes predictable and easier to neutralize. Indiana's coaching philosophy under various regimes has emphasized defensive discipline and ball movement, but these strengths diminish against conference rivals who see them four times per season. The familiarity breeds contempt, as division opponents especially can exploit the Pacers' lack of elite individual talent by forcing them into uncomfortable situations late in games. Their roster construction typically features solid role players rather than game-changing stars, making them vulnerable when games tighten against teams that know their limitations. The negative ROI reflects consistent market overvaluation of Indiana's regular season competitiveness. Bettors often back the Pacers based on their reputation for playing hard and staying competitive, but oddsmakers have caught on to their conference struggles. This trend carries the most weight during divisional matchups and late-season games when playoff positioning intensifies the familiarity factor.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Indiana Pacers's ATS record as vs conference opponent?
The Indiana Pacers have gone 67-75-0 against the spread when facing conference opponents from 2014-2024. This represents a 47.2% ATS win rate over 142 games.
Is betting on the Indiana Pacers as vs conference opponent profitable?
No, betting on the Indiana Pacers against conference opponents has not been profitable, showing a -9.9% ROI over the past decade. This negative return indicates consistent underperformance against the spread in conference matchups.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Pacers' 47.2% ATS win rate against conference opponents falls below the expected 50% break-even point. This underperformance suggests they have consistently failed to cover spreads at the rate typical for NBA teams in conference games.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.