The public often underestimates the Indiana Pacers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as small underdog (+1 to +3), the Indiana Pacers hold a record of 23-17-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +9.8% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $4 over this period.

✅ Profitable
Record23-17-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size40 games
ROI+9.8%
Units Won+3.9u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20144-4-00.0%-4.5%
20160-1-00.0%-100.0%
20173-0-00.0%+90.9%
20182-5-00.0%-45.5%
20193-1-00.0%+43.2%
20202-1-00.0%+27.3%
20211-0-00.0%+90.9%
20222-2-00.0%-4.5%
20232-1-00.0%+27.3%
20244-2-00.0%+27.3%

Why This Trend Exists

The Pacers' strong performance as small underdogs stems from their organizational culture of playing with a chip on their shoulder. Indiana has historically thrived when perceived as the underdog, particularly in tight spreads where they're given little respect by oddsmakers. This psychological edge manifests in increased defensive intensity and ball movement, as the team tends to rally around the perceived slight. Strategically, the small underdog role suits Indiana's identity as a fundamentally sound, well-coached franchise. When facing slight disadvantages, their disciplined approach to execution becomes more pronounced, leading to cleaner possessions and fewer turnovers. The Pacers have consistently maintained strong depth throughout different roster iterations, allowing them to wear down opponents who may have expected an easier contest based on the modest spread. The franchise's Midwestern work ethic culture creates an environment where players respond positively to adversity. Small underdog situations often arise against teams with superior talent but potentially less hunger, creating a perfect storm for Indiana's grind-it-out style to prevail. This trend carries the most weight in divisional matchups and nationally televised games where the Pacers feel they have something to prove against more glamorous opponents.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Indiana Pacers's ATS record as small underdog (+1 to +3)?

The Indiana Pacers have a 23-17-0 ATS record as small underdogs (+1 to +3 points) from 2014-2024. This translates to a 57.5% ATS win rate over 40 games in this situation.

Is betting on the Indiana Pacers as small underdog (+1 to +3) profitable?

Yes, betting on the Indiana Pacers as small underdogs has been profitable with a 9.8% ROI from 2014-2024. Their 57.5% ATS win rate in this spot generates positive returns for bettors.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Pacers' 57.5% ATS win rate as small underdogs is above the typical 50% league average expected for ATS performance. Their 9.8% ROI indicates they consistently outperform expectations in close games where they're slight underdogs.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.