The Indiana Pacers show mixed results as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7). Since 2014, they're 39-33-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of +3.4%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record39-33-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size72 games
ROI+3.4%
Units Won+2.5u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20144-1-00.0%+52.7%
20154-3-00.0%+9.1%
20163-5-00.0%-28.4%
20175-5-00.0%-4.5%
20185-1-00.0%+59.1%
20191-6-00.0%-72.7%
20203-2-00.0%+14.6%
20216-2-00.0%+43.2%
20221-3-00.0%-52.3%
20233-2-00.0%+14.6%
20244-3-00.0%+9.1%

Why This Trend Exists

The Pacers' success as medium underdogs stems from their organizational identity as a fundamentally sound, well-coached franchise that thrives when expectations are lowered. Indiana's culture under various coaching regimes has consistently emphasized defensive discipline and efficient offensive execution, traits that become magnified when facing supposedly superior opponents. The team's blue-collar mentality creates a psychological edge in these spots, where they can play loose and aggressive without the pressure of being favorites. Indiana's roster construction typically features versatile role players and solid veterans who understand their assignments, making them particularly dangerous against teams that might overlook them. Their home court advantage at Gainbridge Fieldhouse amplifies this effect, as the Pacers historically play with more intensity when positioned as underdogs in front of their crowd. The franchise's tendency to develop players within their system creates continuity and chemistry that opponents often underestimate. Bettors should target the Pacers as medium underdogs specifically when they're facing teams on back-to-backs or in nationally televised games where the opponent might be looking ahead. This trend carries the most weight during the middle portion of the season when Indiana has found their rhythm but hasn't yet garnered significant public respect.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Indiana Pacers's ATS record as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7)?

The Indiana Pacers have a 39-33-0 ATS record as medium underdogs (+3.5 to +7) from 2014-2024. This translates to a 54.2% ATS win rate over 72 games in this betting situation.

Is betting on the Indiana Pacers as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7) profitable?

Yes, betting on the Indiana Pacers as medium underdogs has been profitable with a 3.4% ROI from 2014-2024. Their 54.2% ATS win rate in this spot exceeds the break-even threshold needed for profitability.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Pacers' 54.2% ATS win rate as medium underdogs is above the typical league average of around 50%. Their 3.4% ROI indicates they've been a solid value play in this specific betting situation over the past decade.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.