Indiana Pacers Home Favorite on Zero Rest Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Indiana Pacers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home favorite on zero rest, the Indiana Pacers hold a record of 8-5-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +17.5% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $2 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2018 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2020 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2024 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Pacers' strong performance as home favorites on zero rest stems from their historically fast-paced offensive system that actually benefits from shortened preparation time. When Indiana has limited time to overthink game plans, they tend to rely more heavily on their natural pace-and-space principles, which often overwhelms opponents who are equally fatigued but lack the Pacers' conditioning advantages. Indiana's home court advantage at Gainbridge Fieldhouse becomes amplified in these scenarios because visiting teams struggle more with the quick turnaround when dealing with travel fatigue. The Pacers' young core has consistently shown better energy management in back-to-back situations, particularly when they can sleep in their own beds and maintain normal routines. Their offensive system under recent coaching staffs has emphasized quick decision-making and ball movement, which requires less complex preparation than isolation-heavy schemes. The psychological edge also plays a role - Indiana teams have traditionally embraced the underdog mentality even as favorites, and zero rest situations often create line value as the public assumes fatigue will be a major factor. This creates opportunities when the market overadjusts for rest disadvantage. This trend carries the most weight when Indiana faces teams that rely heavily on half-court execution or when the total suggests a slower-paced game that contradicts the Pacers' natural tempo advantages.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Indiana Pacers's ATS record as home favorite on zero rest?
The Indiana Pacers have an 8-5-0 ATS record as home favorites on zero rest from 2014-2024. This translates to a 61.5% ATS win rate over 13 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Indiana Pacers as home favorite on zero rest profitable?
Yes, betting on the Indiana Pacers as home favorites on zero rest has been profitable with a 17.5% ROI. Despite covering the spread in 8 of 13 games, the positive ROI indicates strong betting value in this spot.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 61.5% ATS rate significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50% for home favorites. The 17.5% ROI also exceeds standard profitability thresholds, making this a historically strong betting situation for Indiana.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.