Indiana Pacers Home Underdog After a Win Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The Indiana Pacers show mixed results as home underdog after a win. Since 2014, they're 35-29-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of +4.4%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 3-4-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2015 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2016 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2017 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2018 | 6-1-0 | 0.0% | +63.6% |
| 2019 | 5-4-0 | 0.0% | +6.1% |
| 2020 | 5-1-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2021 | 4-3-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2022 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2023 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2024 | 7-2-0 | 0.0% | +48.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Pacers' success as home underdogs following victories stems from their historically undervalued market position and strong organizational culture that thrives when expectations are low. Indiana has consistently been a franchise that performs better when playing with a chip on their shoulder, and being home underdogs after a win creates the perfect psychological storm. The team maintains confidence from their recent success while simultaneously being motivated by the disrespect implied in the underdog line. Indiana's coaching philosophy under various regimes has emphasized defensive intensity and team basketball, qualities that translate exceptionally well when facing supposedly superior opponents at home. The Pacers' home court advantage at Gainbridge Fieldhouse becomes amplified when they're catching points, as the crowd rallies behind the underdog narrative while the team plays loose and aggressive. The market often overreacts to Indiana's opponent strength while undervaluing the Pacers' ability to elevate their play in these spots. Their recent momentum from the previous win provides the perfect foundation for another strong effort, especially when oddsmakers haven't fully adjusted to their improved form. This trend carries the most weight when Indiana is catching 3-7 points at home, as smaller spreads often indicate closer matchups where motivation and home court can swing the outcome.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Indiana Pacers's ATS record as home underdog after a win?
The Indiana Pacers have an ATS record of 35-29-0 (54.7%) when playing as home underdogs after a win from 2014-2024. This represents 64 total games over the 10-year period.
Is betting on the Indiana Pacers as home underdog after a win profitable?
Yes, betting on the Indiana Pacers as home underdogs after a win has been profitable with a 4.4% ROI. Despite the modest return, their 54.7% ATS win rate indicates consistent value in this situation.
How does this compare to the league average?
This trend significantly outperforms typical expectations, as home underdogs generally cover at around 50% league-wide. The Pacers' 54.7% ATS rate in this specific situation shows they consistently exceed market expectations when favored to lose at home following a victory.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.