Indiana Pacers As Favorite Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Indiana Pacers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as as favorite, the Indiana Pacers are just 75-131-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -30.5% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +30.5%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 11-11-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2015 | 3-13-0 | 0.0% | -64.2% |
| 2016 | 3-8-0 | 0.0% | -47.9% |
| 2017 | 4-17-0 | 0.0% | -63.6% |
| 2018 | 8-11-0 | 0.0% | -19.6% |
| 2019 | 9-7-0 | 0.0% | +7.4% |
| 2020 | 9-12-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2021 | 11-13-0 | 0.0% | -12.5% |
| 2022 | 5-9-0 | 0.0% | -31.8% |
| 2023 | 5-15-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2024 | 7-15-0 | 0.0% | -39.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Pacers' struggles as favorites stem from their organizational identity crisis that has persisted through multiple coaching changes and roster overhauls. Indiana has consistently built teams around complementary players rather than true superstars, creating a ceiling effect when expectations rise. When favored, the Pacers often face opponents with nothing to lose while carrying the psychological burden of being expected to win despite lacking the elite talent typically associated with championship contenders. Their conservative, system-based approach works well as underdogs when they can play freely and exploit opponent complacency. However, when laying points, this same methodical style becomes predictable against motivated opponents who can match their intensity. The franchise's small-market mentality also manifests in inconsistent performances when the spotlight grows brighter, as role players who thrive in low-pressure situations often shrink when asked to close out games they're supposed to win. The most actionable insight for bettors is recognizing that Indiana's favorite struggles intensify against division rivals and teams fighting for playoff positioning, where desperation meets opportunity. This trend matters most during the final two months of the regular season when every game carries heightened stakes and opponents view beating a favored Pacers team as a statement victory.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Indiana Pacers's ATS record as as favorite?
The Indiana Pacers have an ATS record of 75-131-0 when favored from 2014-2024, covering the spread just 36.4% of the time. This represents one of the poorest ATS performances for any team in the favorite role over this period.
Is betting on the Indiana Pacers as as favorite profitable?
No, betting on the Indiana Pacers as favorites has been highly unprofitable with a -30.5% ROI from 2014-2024. This means bettors would have lost approximately 30 cents for every dollar wagered on the Pacers when they were favored.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly worse than the league average, as most teams cover around 48-52% of spreads when favored. The Pacers' 36.4% cover rate as favorites represents a substantial underperformance compared to typical expectations.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.