Indiana Pacers Favorite After 3+ Game Losing Streak Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Indiana Pacers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as favorite after 3+ game losing streak, the Indiana Pacers are just 75-129-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -29.8% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +29.8%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 11-9-0 | 0.0% | +5.0% |
| 2015 | 3-13-0 | 0.0% | -64.2% |
| 2016 | 3-8-0 | 0.0% | -47.9% |
| 2017 | 4-17-0 | 0.0% | -63.6% |
| 2018 | 8-11-0 | 0.0% | -19.6% |
| 2019 | 9-7-0 | 0.0% | +7.4% |
| 2020 | 9-12-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2021 | 11-13-0 | 0.0% | -12.5% |
| 2022 | 5-9-0 | 0.0% | -31.8% |
| 2023 | 5-15-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2024 | 7-15-0 | 0.0% | -39.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Pacers' struggles as favorites following extended losing streaks stem from a franchise culture that has historically lacked the mental fortitude to bounce back decisively from adversity. When Indiana enters these spots, they're typically dealing with depleted confidence and often face opponents who smell blood in the water. The team's conservative coaching philosophy under various regimes has led to tentative play in these crucial bounce-back games, where aggressive adjustments might be needed instead. Indiana's roster construction over this period has consistently featured solid role players but lacked the elite talent necessary to impose their will when expectations are highest. The franchise's tendency to rely on system basketball rather than individual brilliance becomes problematic when that system breaks down during losing streaks. Teams facing the Pacers in these situations often play with house money, leading to inspired performances against a favored squad that's pressing to end their skid. The psychological weight of being favored while simultaneously trying to stop a losing streak creates a perfect storm of tension. Players overthink possessions and coaches become overly cautious with rotations and play-calling. This trend carries the most significance when the Pacers are small home favorites, where the pressure to perform reaches its peak and opponent motivation remains sky-high.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Indiana Pacers's ATS record as favorite after 3+ game losing streak?
The Indiana Pacers have a 75-129-0 ATS record as favorites after a 3+ game losing streak from 2014-2024. This translates to a 36.8% ATS win rate over 204 total games in this situation.
Is betting on the Indiana Pacers as favorite after 3+ game losing streak profitable?
No, betting on the Indiana Pacers as favorites after a 3+ game losing streak is not profitable. The strategy shows a -29.8% ROI with a 0% straight-up win rate, indicating consistent losses for bettors.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly worse than typical league averages for favorites in similar situations. Most teams maintain closer to 50% ATS rates, making the Pacers' 36.8% rate and negative ROI notably poor.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.