Indiana Pacers Away vs Division Rival Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Indiana Pacers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away vs division rival, the Indiana Pacers are just 17-19-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -9.8% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +9.8%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2015 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2016 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2017 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2018 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2019 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2020 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2021 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2022 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2023 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2024 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Pacers' struggles against division rivals on the road stem from their historically inconsistent defensive identity and tendency to play down to competition. Indiana has long been a team that relies heavily on home-court advantage to execute their defensive schemes effectively, particularly their help defense rotations that become more frantic and less coordinated in hostile environments. Against Central Division opponents who know their personnel intimately, these defensive breakdowns become magnified. Indiana's road woes against divisional foes also reflect their psychological approach to these matchups. The Pacers often enter these games with the burden of expectation, knowing they should compete with teams like Chicago, Cleveland, Detroit, and Milwaukee. This pressure manifests in rushed offensive possessions and overthinking defensive assignments, leading to the type of sloppy play that fails to cover spreads even in victories. The franchise's revolving door of coaching philosophies over the past decade has created inconsistency in how they prepare for and execute game plans against familiar opponents. Road games against division rivals require the most disciplined approach, yet the Pacers have repeatedly shown they lack the mental fortitude to maintain their system away from Gainbridge Fieldhouse. This trend carries the most weight when Indiana faces division rivals in March and April, as playoff positioning intensifies the psychological pressure that has historically derailed their road performances.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Indiana Pacers's ATS record as away vs division rival?
The Indiana Pacers have gone 17-19-0 against the spread (ATS) when playing as away vs division rival from 2014-2024. This represents a 47.2% ATS win rate over 36 games.
Is betting on the Indiana Pacers as away vs division rival profitable?
No, betting on the Indiana Pacers as away vs division rival has not been profitable, with a -9.8% ROI over the past decade. Their 0.0% win rate indicates they have consistently failed to cover the spread in these situations.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly below the league average, as teams typically cover the spread at approximately 50% over large sample sizes. The Pacers' 47.2% ATS rate and negative ROI indicate poor performance in divisional road games.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.