The public often underestimates the Houston Rockets in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as as underdog, the Houston Rockets hold a record of 143-84-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +20.3% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $46 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record143-84-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size227 games
ROI+20.3%
Units Won+46.0u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201412-5-00.0%+34.8%
201512-8-00.0%+14.6%
201614-8-00.0%+21.5%
201714-10-00.0%+11.4%
20188-8-00.0%-4.5%
201913-11-00.0%+3.4%
202013-6-00.0%+30.6%
20218-8-00.0%-4.5%
202219-6-00.0%+45.1%
202312-8-00.0%+14.6%
202418-6-00.0%+43.2%

Why This Trend Exists

The Rockets' exceptional underdog performance stems from their organizational DNA as a franchise built on analytics and opportunistic roster construction. Houston has consistently embraced high-variance strategies, from the Moreyball era's three-point obsession to their current young core's unpredictable development curves. This approach creates natural volatility that oddsmakers struggle to price accurately, especially when the market undervalues Houston's ceiling in any given matchup. The franchise's cultural identity as scrappy underdogs translates into genuine competitive fire when facing superior opponents. Houston's players historically respond well to being dismissed, whether it was the championship teams proving doubters wrong or current young talents like Alperen Şengün and Jalen Green elevating their games against established stars. The Rockets also benefit from their pace-heavy style creating more possessions and opportunities for variance to work in their favor. Their recent strong form as underdogs reflects improved roster depth and coaching adjustments that allow them to hang with better teams longer than expected. The combination of athletic young talent and veteran leadership provides the perfect recipe for exceeding lowered expectations. This trend matters most when Houston faces playoff-caliber teams during the regular season, particularly in nationally televised games where motivation peaks and the variance factors are amplified.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Houston Rockets's ATS record as as underdog?

The Houston Rockets have an ATS record of 143-84-0 as underdogs from 2014-2024, covering the spread 63.0% of the time. This represents 227 total games where they were not favored by oddsmakers.

Is betting on the Houston Rockets as as underdog profitable?

Yes, betting on the Houston Rockets as underdogs has been highly profitable with a 20.3% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. Their 63.0% ATS win rate as underdogs significantly exceeds the break-even point needed for profitability.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Rockets' 63.0% ATS win rate as underdogs is well above the typical league average of around 50% for underdog ATS performance. Their 20.3% ROI also substantially exceeds what most teams generate in underdog situations.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

Compare Sportsbook Odds

Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.