Houston Rockets Small Underdog (+1 to +3) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Houston Rockets in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as small underdog (+1 to +3), the Houston Rockets hold a record of 29-15-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +25.8% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $11 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 5-1-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2015 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2016 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2017 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2018 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2019 | 4-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2020 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2021 | 6-3-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2022 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2023 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2024 | 4-3-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Rockets' success as small underdogs stems from their ability to leverage their high-octane offensive system against teams that may underestimate them in close matchups. When Houston enters games as slight underdogs, they often face opponents who've prepared for a competitive battle but haven't fully accounted for the Rockets' explosive three-point variance. This creates opportunities for Houston to steal games through their signature barrage of perimeter shots, particularly when their role players catch fire alongside their star talent. Houston's coaching staff has historically excelled at making strategic adjustments when their team isn't favored, often deploying unconventional lineups or defensive schemes that catch opponents off-guard. The psychological element works in their favor too – being small underdogs removes pressure while maintaining the competitive edge that comes with facing quality opposition. The team tends to play with more urgency and focus in these scenarios compared to games where they're expected to dominate weaker opponents. Bettors should target Houston as small underdogs when they're coming off a loss or playing against teams with questionable perimeter defense, as these conditions amplify their natural advantages in close contests. This trend matters most during playoff races and nationally televised games where Houston's talent level often exceeds what the small underdog status suggests.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Houston Rockets's ATS record as small underdog (+1 to +3)?
The Houston Rockets have an ATS record of 29-15-0 (65.9%) when playing as small underdogs (+1 to +3 points) from 2014-2024. This means they covered the spread in 29 games and failed to cover in 15 games during this period.
Is betting on the Houston Rockets as small underdog (+1 to +3) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Houston Rockets as small underdogs has been highly profitable with a 25.8% ROI from 2014-2024. This strong return on investment indicates consistent value when backing Houston in close games where they're slight underdogs.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Rockets' 65.9% ATS win rate as small underdogs significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50% for ATS betting. Their 25.8% ROI is exceptionally strong compared to the break-even point needed for profitable sports betting.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.