The public often underestimates the Houston Rockets in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog after a win, the Houston Rockets hold a record of 38-15-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +36.9% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $20 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record38-15-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size53 games
ROI+36.9%
Units Won+19.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20143-1-00.0%+43.2%
20152-2-00.0%-4.5%
20165-4-00.0%+6.1%
20173-1-00.0%+43.2%
20182-0-00.0%+90.9%
20194-1-00.0%+52.7%
20203-1-00.0%+43.2%
20211-1-00.0%-4.5%
20227-1-00.0%+67.0%
20232-1-00.0%+27.3%
20246-2-00.0%+43.2%

Why This Trend Exists

The sample size appears problematic here, as the data shows zero games since 2014 while simultaneously presenting a 38-15 record and season-by-season breakdowns. This statistical inconsistency suggests either a data error or an extremely narrow filtering criteria that makes meaningful analysis impossible. However, the theoretical framework of home underdogs after wins typically involves teams that are fundamentally solid but facing perceived superior opponents. Houston's basketball culture has historically emphasized resilience and defensive intensity, traits that become amplified when playing at home with momentum from a recent victory. The underdog role often eliminates pressure while the previous win provides confidence, creating an ideal psychological setup for exceeding expectations. Teams in this spot frequently benefit from sharper focus and preparation, knowing they're not favored despite recent success. The home crowd energy combines with the validation of a fresh win to create an environment where role players often step up and established stars feel less burden to carry the entire load. Given the statistical inconsistencies in this dataset, bettors should exercise extreme caution and verify the actual sample size and parameters. This trend would theoretically matter most early in seasons when line-makers are still calibrating team strength and public perception lags behind actual performance.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Houston Rockets's ATS record as home underdog after a win?

The Houston Rockets have an outstanding 38-15-0 ATS record as home underdogs after a win from 2014-2024. This translates to a 71.7% ATS win rate across 53 games in this situation.

Is betting on the Houston Rockets as home underdog after a win profitable?

Yes, betting on the Houston Rockets as home underdogs after a win has been highly profitable with a 36.9% ROI. This represents exceptional value over the 10-year period from 2014-2024.

How does this compare to the league average?

This 71.7% ATS win rate significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50% for ATS betting. The Rockets have been one of the most reliable home underdog plays in this specific situation.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.