Houston Rockets Home Games Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Houston Rockets in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home games, the Houston Rockets are just 104-113-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -8.5% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +8.5%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 13-9-0 | 0.0% | +12.8% |
| 2015 | 5-10-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2016 | 10-12-0 | 0.0% | -13.2% |
| 2017 | 11-14-0 | 0.0% | -16.0% |
| 2018 | 6-13-0 | 0.0% | -39.7% |
| 2019 | 12-10-0 | 0.0% | +4.1% |
| 2020 | 6-5-0 | 0.0% | +4.1% |
| 2021 | 8-13-0 | 0.0% | -27.3% |
| 2022 | 11-16-0 | 0.0% | -22.2% |
| 2023 | 10-7-0 | 0.0% | +12.3% |
| 2024 | 12-4-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Rockets' home court advantage stems from their aggressive, high-tempo style that feeds off crowd energy at Toyota Center. Houston has historically built teams around explosive offensive systems - from the Harden isolation era to their current young core's transition-heavy approach - that create momentum swings amplified by home crowds. The psychological boost becomes particularly pronounced when their three-point heavy offense catches fire, as shooting percentages typically improve at home due to familiar rim angles and reduced travel fatigue. Houston's defensive intensity also escalates at home, where they can dictate pace and force opponents into uncomfortable possessions. The team's recent improvement reflects their young roster's growing chemistry and confidence in familiar surroundings. Players like Alperen Şengün and Jalen Green have shown marked home-road splits, suggesting they thrive in the comfort of their home environment while still developing road maturity. The key betting insight centers on Houston's tendency to exceed expectations when facing teams on back-to-back situations or those struggling with their own road form. The Rockets' home advantage becomes most valuable when they're catching points against higher-seeded opponents who may overlook their improving young talent, particularly in games following strong home performances where confidence carries over.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Houston Rockets's ATS record as home games?
The Houston Rockets have an ATS record of 104-113-0 in home games from 2014-2024, covering the spread in 47.9% of their home contests. This translates to a below-average performance against the betting line at home.
Is betting on the Houston Rockets as home games profitable?
No, betting on the Houston Rockets in home games has not been profitable, showing a -8.5% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. A $100 bet on every Rockets home game would have resulted in an $8.50 loss per game on average.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Rockets' 47.9% ATS win rate in home games is below the league average of approximately 50%. Their -8.5% ROI indicates significantly worse performance than the typical break-even expectation for ATS betting.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.