The Houston Rockets show mixed results as second game of back-to-back. Since 2014, they're 35-29-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of +4.4%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record35-29-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size64 games
ROI+4.4%
Units Won+2.8u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20144-1-00.0%+52.7%
20153-1-00.0%+43.2%
20163-1-00.0%+43.2%
20175-1-00.0%+59.1%
20180-2-00.0%-100.0%
20193-3-00.0%-4.5%
20203-2-00.0%+14.6%
20213-6-00.0%-36.4%
20223-7-00.0%-42.7%
20233-1-00.0%+43.2%
20245-4-00.0%+6.1%

Why This Trend Exists

The Rockets' solid performance in back-to-back second games stems from their organizational philosophy of roster depth and strategic rest management. Houston has consistently built teams around high-usage superstars like James Harden and Chris Paul, but complemented them with role players capable of stepping up when stars are managed or fatigued. This depth becomes crucial on tired legs, as the team's system-based approach to offense and defense allows them to maintain efficiency even when individual performances dip. Houston's analytics-driven front office has long prioritized players who can contribute across multiple areas, creating lineups that don't rely solely on star power. When facing the physical and mental grind of consecutive games, this versatility shines through. The team's emphasis on three-point shooting also works in their favor during back-to-backs, as fatigue typically affects driving lanes and interior scoring more than perimeter shooting rhythm. The psychological factor cannot be overlooked either. Houston has cultivated a culture of resilience, often performing better when expectations are lowered or when facing adversity. Back-to-back scenarios naturally create lower public expectations, which historically aligns with when the Rockets exceed betting market projections. This trend carries the most weight when Houston is playing the second game at home, where familiar surroundings and crowd support can offset physical fatigue.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Houston Rockets's ATS record as second game of back-to-back?

The Houston Rockets have an ATS record of 35-29-0 when playing the second game of back-to-back situations from 2014-2024. This translates to a 54.7% ATS win rate over 64 games.

Is betting on the Houston Rockets as second game of back-to-back profitable?

Yes, betting on the Houston Rockets in the second game of back-to-backs has been profitable with a 4.4% ROI. Despite the modest return, their 35-29 ATS record shows consistent value against the spread.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Rockets' 54.7% ATS win rate in second games of back-to-backs is above the typical league average of around 50%. Their 4.4% ROI indicates they've provided better value than most teams in this scheduling situation.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.