Houston Rockets Away vs Division Rival Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Houston Rockets in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away vs division rival, the Houston Rockets are just 12-14-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -11.9% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +11.9%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2015 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2016 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2017 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2018 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2019 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2020 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2021 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2022 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2024 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Rockets' struggles against division rivals on the road stem from a perfect storm of psychological pressure and strategic disadvantages. Houston has historically been a team built around offensive firepower and three-point volume, but divisional games carry extra intensity that often disrupts their rhythm-based approach. When playing away against Southwest Division foes like San Antonio, Dallas, Memphis, and New Orleans, the Rockets face opponents who know their tendencies intimately and can exploit their defensive vulnerabilities in hostile environments. Division rivals have the luxury of studying Houston's patterns extensively through multiple meetings per season, allowing them to craft specific game plans that neutralize the Rockets' offensive weapons. The psychological weight of these matchups compounds on the road, where Houston's young core has shown inconsistency handling pressure situations. Their recent 5-5 form suggests some improvement, but the underlying issues remain when facing teams that have scouted them relentlessly. Smart bettors should exercise extreme caution when backing Houston as road favorites against division opponents, particularly in late-season games when playoff positioning intensifies the stakes. This trend carries the most weight during March and April when divisional standings become crucial and every possession matters exponentially more.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Houston Rockets's ATS record as away vs division rival?
The Houston Rockets have gone 12-14-0 against the spread (ATS) when playing as the away team versus division rivals from 2014-2024. This represents a 46.2% ATS win rate over 26 games.
Is betting on the Houston Rockets as away vs division rival profitable?
No, betting on the Houston Rockets as the away team against division rivals has not been profitable. The team has produced a negative ROI of -11.9% over this 10-year period.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is below the typical 50% ATS expectation and league average. The Rockets' 46.2% ATS win rate and -11.9% ROI in this specific situation indicates consistent underperformance against the betting line.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.