The public often underestimates the Houston Rockets in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away underdog on zero rest, the Houston Rockets hold a record of 12-8-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +14.6% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $3 over this period.

✅ Profitable
Record12-8-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size20 games
ROI+14.6%
Units Won+2.9u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-0-00.0%+90.9%
20151-0-00.0%+90.9%
20171-1-00.0%-4.5%
20180-1-00.0%-100.0%
20190-1-00.0%-100.0%
20202-0-00.0%+90.9%
20210-2-00.0%-100.0%
20222-2-00.0%-4.5%
20232-0-00.0%+90.9%
20243-1-00.0%+43.2%

Why This Trend Exists

The Rockets' strong performance as away underdogs on zero rest stems from their historically aggressive pace and three-point heavy offensive system that creates variance advantages in challenging spots. When Houston enters hostile environments without rest, their high-volume shooting approach becomes particularly effective against teams that may be overconfident due to the perceived scheduling disadvantage. The franchise has consistently built rosters around players who thrive in transition and can create quick offense, making them less susceptible to the typical fatigue factors that plague other teams on back-to-backs. Houston's organizational philosophy has long emphasized analytics and efficiency, leading to game plans that maximize possessions and minimize the impact of tired legs through strategic shot selection. Their willingness to live and die by the three-pointer means they can quickly erase deficits or build leads regardless of rest disadvantage, while opponents often fail to match their intensity when expecting an easy victory. The key betting insight here is recognizing when the market overadjusts for Houston's rest situation while undervaluing their systematic advantages in creating offensive efficiency. This trend carries the most weight when the Rockets face teams coming off impressive home wins, as the combination of opponent overconfidence and Houston's proven resilience in adverse situations creates maximum value.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Houston Rockets's ATS record as away underdog on zero rest?

The Houston Rockets have gone 12-8-0 against the spread (ATS) as away underdogs on zero rest from 2014-2024. This represents a 60% ATS win rate over 20 games in this specific situation.

Is betting on the Houston Rockets as away underdog on zero rest profitable?

Yes, betting on the Houston Rockets as away underdogs on zero rest has been profitable with a 14.6% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite a 0% straight-up win rate, their strong ATS performance of 12-8-0 has generated positive returns for bettors.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Rockets' 60% ATS win rate in this situation significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50% for underdogs. Their 14.6% ROI also exceeds the break-even threshold, making this a historically profitable betting angle.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.