Houston Rockets Away Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Houston Rockets in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away underdog, the Houston Rockets hold a record of 68-40-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +20.2% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $22 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 5-1-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2015 | 9-3-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2016 | 7-2-0 | 0.0% | +48.5% |
| 2017 | 5-4-0 | 0.0% | +6.1% |
| 2018 | 4-7-0 | 0.0% | -30.6% |
| 2019 | 4-3-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2020 | 7-4-0 | 0.0% | +21.5% |
| 2021 | 3-4-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2022 | 10-2-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2023 | 6-6-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2024 | 8-4-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Rockets' exceptional performance as away underdogs stems from their organizational culture of embracing analytics-driven basketball and thriving in low-expectation environments. Houston has historically constructed rosters built for variance - three-point heavy offenses that can explode against favored opponents who may approach games with complacency. When playing on the road as underdogs, the Rockets benefit from reduced pressure and the ability to play loose, aggressive basketball that maximizes their offensive ceiling. Houston's coaching philosophy under various regimes has emphasized exploiting mismatches and creating high-value shots, particularly effective when opponents underestimate their capabilities. The team's players often perform better when doubted, channeling external skepticism into focused execution. Their three-point shooting variance becomes an asset in these spots - while they might struggle as favorites where opponents game-plan specifically for their tendencies, they catch teams off-guard when expected to lose. The psychological edge of being written off combines with Houston's natural pace and space system to create explosive offensive performances that consistently exceed oddsmakers' expectations. Bettors should target the Rockets as away underdogs specifically when they're facing teams coming off impressive wins or in spots where the opposition might be looking ahead to bigger games.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Houston Rockets's ATS record as away underdog?
The Houston Rockets have a 68-40-0 ATS record as away underdogs from 2014-2024. This represents a 63% ATS win rate over 108 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Houston Rockets as away underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Houston Rockets as away underdogs has been highly profitable with a 20.2% ROI. This strong return indicates consistent value when backing Houston in this spot.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Rockets' 63% ATS rate as away underdogs significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50%. Their 20.2% ROI is exceptionally strong compared to the standard break-even expectation.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.