Houston Rockets After a Loss Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Houston Rockets in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after a loss, the Houston Rockets are just 109-124-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -10.7% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +10.7%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 12-5-0 | 0.0% | +34.8% |
| 2015 | 9-14-0 | 0.0% | -25.3% |
| 2016 | 9-9-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2017 | 11-13-0 | 0.0% | -12.5% |
| 2018 | 10-15-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2019 | 14-10-0 | 0.0% | +11.4% |
| 2020 | 6-9-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2021 | 11-14-0 | 0.0% | -16.0% |
| 2022 | 10-17-0 | 0.0% | -29.3% |
| 2023 | 10-9-0 | 0.0% | +0.5% |
| 2024 | 7-9-0 | 0.0% | -16.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Rockets' struggles after losses stem from a combination of organizational instability and roster construction issues that have plagued the franchise over the past decade. Houston's post-James Harden era has been marked by frequent coaching changes, young player development cycles, and inconsistent veteran leadership - all factors that make bounce-back games particularly challenging. When teams lack established leaders or proven systems, the psychological weight of a loss tends to compound rather than motivate. Houston's offensive-heavy identity has historically made them vulnerable to emotional swings. Teams built around high-volume scoring often struggle with defensive focus and effort consistency, especially when coming off disappointing performances. The Rockets' tendency to rely on three-point shooting creates additional volatility - when shots aren't falling after a loss, confidence can spiral quickly. The franchise's rebuilding phases have also meant frequent lineup changes and role uncertainty, making it difficult to establish the chemistry needed for strong responses to adversity. Players fighting for minutes or trying to prove themselves often play outside their roles in bounce-back spots, leading to inefficient basketball. This trend carries the most weight when Houston faces quality opponents on the road after home losses, where the combination of travel, hostile environment, and wounded confidence creates the perfect storm for another disappointing performance.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Houston Rockets's ATS record as after a loss?
The Houston Rockets have gone 109-124-0 against the spread when playing after a loss from 2014-2024. This represents a 46.8% ATS win rate over 233 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Houston Rockets as after a loss profitable?
No, betting on the Houston Rockets after a loss has not been profitable, showing a -10.7% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. Their 46.8% ATS win rate falls well below the 52.4% needed to break even.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Rockets' 46.8% ATS win rate after losses is below the typical league average of around 50%. Their -10.7% ROI indicates significantly worse performance than average teams in bounce-back situations.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.