The Golden State Warriors show mixed results as vs non-conference opponent. Since 2014, they're 118-108-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -0.3%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record118-108-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size226 games
ROI-0.3%
Units Won-0.7u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201415-9-00.0%+19.3%
20155-13-00.0%-47.0%
20165-12-00.0%-43.9%
20178-8-00.0%-4.5%
20187-13-00.0%-33.2%
201917-9-00.0%+24.8%
202014-12-00.0%+2.8%
20219-5-00.0%+22.7%
202217-9-00.0%+24.8%
202312-12-00.0%-4.5%
20249-6-00.0%+14.6%

Why This Trend Exists

The Warriors' mediocre performance against non-conference opponents stems from their tendency to approach these matchups with less intensity than division or conference games. Golden State has historically been a team that elevates its play against familiar Western Conference rivals, where playoff positioning and head-to-head tiebreakers carry more weight. Against Eastern Conference teams they see only twice per season, the Warriors often struggle to maintain their trademark defensive rotations and ball movement, leading to inconsistent covering patterns. Steve Kerr's system thrives on rhythm and familiarity, but non-conference games present unique matchup challenges that can disrupt their flow. Eastern Conference teams often employ different pace and style variations that the Warriors haven't extensively prepared for, creating situations where their typical adjustments fall short. The team's championship-caliber talent sometimes leads to overconfidence against perceived lesser competition, resulting in slow starts that put them behind the betting number early. Smart bettors should be particularly cautious backing Golden State as road favorites against non-conference opponents, especially in back-to-back situations or during long road trips. This trend becomes most critical during the middle portion of the season when the Warriors are managing veteran rest and haven't yet shifted into their typical playoff preparation mode.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Golden State Warriors's ATS record as vs non-conference opponent?

The Golden State Warriors have an ATS record of 118-108-0 against non-conference opponents from 2014-2024. This translates to a 52.2% ATS win rate over 226 games.

Is betting on the Golden State Warriors as vs non-conference opponent profitable?

Betting on the Golden State Warriors against non-conference opponents has not been profitable, showing a -0.3% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite covering the spread more often than not, the negative ROI indicates losses when factoring in typical betting juice.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Warriors' 52.2% ATS rate against non-conference opponents is slightly above the typical 50% expectation for ATS performance. However, the -0.3% ROI suggests this edge hasn't been sufficient to overcome standard sportsbook margins.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

Compare Sportsbook Odds

Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.