Golden State Warriors Home - Second of Back-to-Back Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The Golden State Warriors show mixed results as home - second of back-to-back. Since 2014, they're 10-9-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of +0.5%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2015 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2016 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2017 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2018 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2019 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2020 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2022 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2023 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2024 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Warriors' mediocre home performance on the second night of back-to-backs reflects the unique challenges their high-tempo, motion-heavy system creates when dealing with fatigue. Golden State's offense relies heavily on constant movement, screens, and quick decision-making that becomes significantly more taxing over consecutive games than traditional half-court sets. When legs are heavy, their signature ball movement and off-ball cutting suffers, leading to more isolation plays that don't align with their strengths. The psychological factor is equally important. Playing at Chase Center creates enormous expectations from both fans and the organization, and when the Warriors aren't executing their fluid offensive system at peak efficiency, they can become frustrated and press for shots. This is particularly pronounced during back-to-backs when their defensive rotations are a step slower, allowing opponents to build confidence and momentum that carries throughout the game. The recent uptick in performance suggests the current roster has adapted better to managing these situations, possibly through improved conditioning or strategic rest management. Bettors should pay close attention to injury reports and minutes distribution from the previous night's game, as Steve Kerr's rotation decisions often telegraph how seriously he's taking the rest advantage. This trend matters most when facing well-rested opponents with strong half-court offenses that can exploit Golden State's potentially sluggish defensive rotations.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Golden State Warriors's ATS record as home - second of back-to-back?
The Golden State Warriors have a 10-9-0 ATS record when playing at home on the second night of back-to-back games from 2014-2024. This represents a 52.6% ATS win rate over 19 total games in this situation.
Is betting on the Golden State Warriors as home - second of back-to-back profitable?
Betting on the Warriors in this situation shows minimal profitability with a 0.5% ROI. While they cover the spread slightly more than half the time, the returns are essentially break-even after accounting for typical betting juice.
How does this compare to the league average?
Without specific league average data provided, this 52.6% ATS rate appears roughly average for NBA teams in similar back-to-back situations. Most teams struggle on the second night of back-to-backs, making this a relatively neutral betting spot.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.