The public often underestimates the Golden State Warriors in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as underdog on 3+ win streak, the Golden State Warriors hold a record of 153-82-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +24.3% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $57 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record153-82-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size235 games
ROI+24.3%
Units Won+57.1u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201415-9-00.0%+19.3%
201513-8-00.0%+18.2%
201611-9-00.0%+5.0%
20179-8-00.0%+1.1%
201817-6-00.0%+41.1%
201920-7-00.0%+41.4%
202018-11-00.0%+18.5%
202115-3-00.0%+59.1%
202214-7-00.0%+27.3%
202312-7-00.0%+20.6%
20249-7-00.0%+7.4%

Why This Trend Exists

The Warriors' exceptional performance as underdogs during win streaks stems from their unique organizational psychology and strategic adaptability. When Golden State enters underdog territory while riding momentum, they're typically facing elite competition on the road or dealing with injury situations that create artificial value in the betting market. The team's championship pedigree means they rarely panic during adversity, instead leveraging their systematic approach and veteran leadership to exceed diminished expectations. Steve Kerr's coaching philosophy emphasizes maintaining offensive flow regardless of personnel, allowing the Warriors to stay competitive even when key players are sidelined. Their motion offense creates quality looks for role players who often step up in these spots, while their defensive switching schemes remain effective against superior opponents. The franchise's culture of resilience, built through multiple championship runs, means they approach underdog situations with confidence rather than desperation. Bettors should target this trend when the Warriors are road underdogs of 3-7 points during win streaks, as these lines often reflect overreactions to recent opponent strength rather than Golden State's true capability. The sweet spot occurs when they're healthy enough to maintain their core rotations but facing teams coming off impressive performances, creating inflated spreads that don't account for the Warriors' proven ability to rise to competition levels.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Golden State Warriors's ATS record as underdog on 3+ win streak?

The Golden State Warriors have an ATS record of 153-82-0 when they are underdogs on a 3+ game win streak from 2014-2024. This represents a 65.1% ATS win rate over 235 games in this situation.

Is betting on the Golden State Warriors as underdog on 3+ win streak profitable?

Yes, betting on the Warriors as underdogs on 3+ win streaks has been highly profitable with a 24.3% ROI. This strong return indicates the betting market consistently undervalues Golden State in this specific situation.

How does this compare to the league average?

This 65.1% ATS win rate significantly outperforms the typical 52.4% break-even rate needed for profitability. The 24.3% ROI suggests this trend substantially beats league averages for similar underdog situations.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

Compare Sportsbook Odds

Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.