Golden State Warriors Second Game of Back-to-Back Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The Golden State Warriors show mixed results as second game of back-to-back. Since 2014, they're 31-30-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -3.0%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2-5-0 | 0.0% | -45.5% |
| 2015 | 1-6-0 | 0.0% | -72.7% |
| 2016 | 2-4-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2017 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2018 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2019 | 4-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2020 | 8-4-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2021 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2022 | 4-2-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2023 | 4-3-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2024 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Warriors' mediocre back-to-back performance stems from their reliance on a high-octane, three-point heavy offense that becomes less sustainable when legs are tired. Golden State's system demands constant movement, precise spacing, and quick decision-making - elements that deteriorate significantly on zero rest. Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson's shooting percentages historically drop on the second night, while their defensive rotations become sluggish against teams that can exploit transition opportunities. What makes this particularly problematic for Golden State is their aging core's inability to maintain the same energy levels that defined their championship runs. The team's "strength in numbers" depth has fluctuated over the years, meaning when stars are gassed, the bench often lacks the firepower to maintain their typical offensive efficiency. Additionally, coach Steve Kerr's tendency to rest key players strategically can create unpredictable lineups that oddsmakers struggle to properly price. The actionable insight here is monitoring the Warriors' three-point attempt rate and pace in the first game of back-to-backs. When they exceed 40 attempts from deep or play at a pace above 102 possessions, fade them the following night. This trend carries the most weight when facing well-rested teams with strong defensive schemes, particularly during the grueling Western Conference road trips.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Golden State Warriors's ATS record as second game of back-to-back?
The Golden State Warriors have a 31-30-0 ATS record in the second game of back-to-back situations from 2014-2024. This translates to a 50.8% ATS win rate over 61 games.
Is betting on the Golden State Warriors as second game of back-to-back profitable?
Betting on the Warriors in the second game of back-to-backs has not been profitable, showing a -3.0% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite their near .500 ATS record, the negative ROI indicates losses after accounting for betting juice.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Warriors' 50.8% ATS win rate in second games of back-to-backs is slightly above the break-even point but below the typical league average. Most teams struggle more significantly in back-to-back scenarios, making Golden State's performance relatively competitive in this situation.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.