The data suggests caution when backing the Detroit Pistons in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as vs division opponent, the Detroit Pistons are just 22-33-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -23.6% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +23.6%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record22-33-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size56 games
ROI-23.6%
Units Won-13.0u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20144-1-00.0%+52.7%
20152-4-00.0%-36.4%
20162-2-00.0%-4.5%
20170-2-00.0%-100.0%
20183-4-10.0%-18.2%
20193-6-00.0%-36.4%
20202-3-00.0%-23.6%
20211-3-00.0%-52.3%
20221-2-00.0%-36.4%
20231-1-00.0%-4.5%
20243-5-00.0%-28.4%

Why This Trend Exists

The Pistons' struggles against division opponents stem from the inherent familiarity that breeds both contempt and tactical disadvantages in the Central Division. Detroit has operated as a rebuilding franchise for most of this sample period, consistently fielding young, inexperienced rosters against more established divisional rivals like Milwaukee, Chicago, and Indiana. These teams know Detroit's personnel intimately through multiple meetings per season, allowing them to exploit the Pistons' developmental weaknesses more effectively than unfamiliar opponents. Detroit's roster construction has emphasized youth development over immediate competitiveness, creating a perfect storm against division foes who gameplan specifically for their tendencies. Young players often struggle with the emotional weight of divisional games, where every possession carries playoff positioning implications that Detroit rarely competed for during this timeframe. The psychological burden of facing teams that consistently outclass them in talent and experience manifests in poor execution during crucial moments. Bettors should target Detroit as a fade candidate when they're road underdogs against division opponents, particularly in late-season games where their young core faces veteran-laden teams fighting for playoff positioning. This trend carries maximum weight during March and April when divisional standings crystallize and experienced teams turn up their intensity against rebuilding franchises like Detroit.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Detroit Pistons's ATS record as vs division opponent?

The Detroit Pistons have a 22-33-1 ATS record when playing against division opponents from 2014-2024. This translates to a 39.3% ATS win rate over 56 games.

Is betting on the Detroit Pistons as vs division opponent profitable?

No, betting on the Detroit Pistons against division opponents has not been profitable, showing a -23.6% ROI from 2014-2024. This represents significant losses for bettors backing Detroit in divisional matchups.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is well below the expected 50% league average for ATS records. The Pistons' 39.3% ATS win rate against division opponents indicates they consistently fail to cover spreads in these games.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.