The Detroit Pistons show mixed results as small favorite (-1 to -3). Since 2014, they're 20-19-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -2.1%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record20-19-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size39 games
ROI-2.1%
Units Won-0.8u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20144-2-00.0%+27.3%
20152-2-00.0%-4.5%
20160-3-00.0%-100.0%
20170-3-00.0%-100.0%
20180-1-00.0%-100.0%
20194-1-00.0%+52.7%
20203-0-00.0%+90.9%
20213-1-00.0%+43.2%
20222-1-00.0%+27.3%
20231-1-00.0%-4.5%
20241-4-00.0%-61.8%

Why This Trend Exists

The Pistons' struggles as small favorites stem from their historically inconsistent roster construction and organizational instability over the past decade. Detroit has rarely possessed the type of veteran leadership and clutch execution necessary to close out tight games where they're expected to win. When installed as slight favorites, the pressure to perform often exposes their youth and inexperience, particularly in fourth-quarter situations where composure becomes paramount. Detroit's coaching carousel and constant roster turnover have prevented the development of a consistent identity, making it difficult for players to execute in pressure moments. Small favorite spots typically occur against similarly struggling teams or in divisional matchups where familiarity breeds competitive games. The Pistons have shown a tendency to play down to their competition's level rather than asserting dominance when expected to win. The franchise's rebuilding mentality has also created situations where young players prioritize individual development over winning, leading to questionable shot selection and decision-making in crucial moments. This psychological approach becomes magnified when the team carries betting market expectations. This trend matters most in divisional games and matchups against fellow rebuilding franchises, where Detroit's inability to separate themselves becomes most apparent and costly for bettors backing them as chalk.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Detroit Pistons's ATS record as small favorite (-1 to -3)?

The Detroit Pistons have gone 20-19-0 against the spread as small favorites (-1 to -3 points) from 2014-2024. This represents a 51.3% ATS win rate over 39 games in this spot.

Is betting on the Detroit Pistons as small favorite (-1 to -3) profitable?

No, betting on the Detroit Pistons as small favorites has not been profitable, showing a -2.1% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite their slightly above .500 ATS record, the negative return indicates losses after accounting for typical betting juice.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Pistons' 51.3% ATS win rate as small favorites is slightly above the league average, as teams typically need to cover around 52.4% to break even after vig. However, their -2.1% ROI suggests they've fallen just short of profitability in this situation.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.