Detroit Pistons Medium Favorite (-3.5 to -7) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Detroit Pistons in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as medium favorite (-3.5 to -7), the Detroit Pistons are just 32-34-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -7.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +7.4%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 4-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2015 | 4-5-0 | 0.0% | -15.2% |
| 2016 | 7-4-0 | 0.0% | +21.5% |
| 2017 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2018 | 2-5-1 | 0.0% | -45.5% |
| 2019 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2020 | 2-6-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2021 | 4-1-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
| 2022 | 4-2-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2023 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2024 | 1-4-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Pistons' struggles as medium favorites stem from a franchise caught between rebuilding phases and playoff aspirations over the past decade. Detroit has consistently fielded teams with just enough talent to be favored against weaker opponents, but lacking the depth and execution needed to cover meaningful spreads. This creates a dangerous betting scenario where the market respects their roster construction on paper while overlooking their tendency to play down to competition. Detroit's medium favorite situations typically arise against fellow rebuilding teams or injury-depleted squads, where the Pistons enter with lineup advantages but fail to capitalize due to inconsistent effort and coaching adjustments. The franchise's revolving door of coaches and front office changes has created an identity crisis that manifests most clearly when they're expected to dominate lesser opponents. Young cores often struggle with the mental aspect of closing out "should-win" games, leading to fourth-quarter collapses that turn covers into bad beats. Bettors should approach Detroit as medium favorites with extreme caution, particularly in divisional matchups where familiarity breeds competitive games regardless of talent disparities. This trend carries the most weight when the Pistons are laying points against Eastern Conference bottom-feeders in late-season scenarios where motivation levels become questionable.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Detroit Pistons's ATS record as medium favorite (-3.5 to -7)?
The Detroit Pistons have a 32-34-1 ATS record as medium favorites (-3.5 to -7) from 2014-2024. This translates to a 47.8% cover rate across 67 games in this betting situation.
Is betting on the Detroit Pistons as medium favorite (-3.5 to -7) profitable?
No, betting on the Detroit Pistons as medium favorites has not been profitable, showing a -7.4% ROI. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing Detroit in this spot over the 10-year period.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is below the expected 52.4% break-even rate needed for profitability in sports betting. The Pistons' 47.8% cover rate as medium favorites suggests they consistently struggle to meet expectations when moderately favored.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.